Dodgers vs. Mets: NLCS game 4 predictions, odds and picks — Oct 17, MLB 2024

On Thursday, the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets will meet for the fourth game of the NLCS in Queens. After splitting the series in LA, it was all Dodgers in Game 3 at Citi Field on Wednesday evening.

Already up 2-0 in the sixth inning, a two-run shot by Kike Hernandez doubled their lead. Then, Shohei Ohtani connected for a towering three-run homer in the eighth before Max Muncy would hit another solo homer to solidify the 8-0 win. Game 4 is scheduled to take place at 8:08 pm ET.

"SHOHEI OHTANI SENDS THIS BASEBALL TO A DIFFERENT PLANET" - MLB

Dodgers vs Mets recent form and records

The Dodgers' 98 wins in the regular season was the most in MLB, and enough to win the NL West over the San Diego Padres by five games. Now 5-3 in the postseason, the thirteen homers hit by LA this postseason leads the field of 2024 MLB playoff clubs.

In many ways, the New York Mets' qualification for the NLCS came as a suprise to many. After qualifying on the final day of the regular season, manager Carlos Mendoza's club bested the Brewers in the Wild Card Series before emerging victorious against the Philadelphia Phillies in the NLDS. The team's regular season record was 89-73.

Players to Watch

Starting Pitchers

LAD: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (7-2, 3.00 ERA) vs NYM: Jose Quintana (10-10, 3.75 ERA)

Yamamoto had a 1.111 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 105 K in 90 IP.

Last Start: Win, 5 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 K vs SD

Career vs NYM: 0-0 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER) 1 HR in 1 game

Quintana has a 1.250 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 135 K in 170.1 IP.

Last Start: Win, 5 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 6 K vs PHI

Career vs LAD: 2-2 4.07 ERA (24.1 IP, 11 ER) 4 HR in 4 games

Must-Watch Hitters

New York

24 year-old Mark Vientos' grand slam in Game 2 made him the youngest player ever to accomplish such a feat in a Conference Series. The third baseman has hit .366 this postseason, and leads his club in RBIs and OPS with 11 and a 1.029 figure respectively.

"MARK VIENTOS GRAND SLAM!!!!" - SNY

Although he has been quiet in this series, Pete Alonso has walked five times in his last five games. Heading into free agency, the first baseman has 3 homers and 6 RBIs in ten games this October, and is 1-for-3 with an RBI in his career against Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

Los Angeles

As criticism was mounting over his lacklustre postseason so far, Shohei Ohtani silenced the crowd on Wednesday with an absolutely towering drive at Citi Field for his second career playoff homer. A career .361 hitter against New York, Ohtani also has 3 homers and 10 RBIs in ten career regular season games.

Third baseman Max Muncy hit his team-leading third home run of the season in Game 3. The team leader in OPS with a 1.078 number, Muncy will continue to play an important role.

"Max Muncy now has 13 homers in the postseason, tied for the most in Dodgers history" - Blake Harris

A veteran of the Dodgers' 2020 World Series win over the Tampa Bay Rays, Kike Hernandez is a Gold Glove finalist in 2024. The purveyor of a home run in Game 3, Hernandez is 6-for-21 with a .983 OPS this October.

Dodgers vs Mets baseball betting odds

Thursday 17/10	Money Line	Run Spread	Total Runs
Los Angeles Dodgers	- 135	- 1.5 +125	O 7 -120
New York Mets	+ 115	+ 1.5 -150	U 7 +100

Dodgers vs Mets expert picks and game prediction

Offensively, the Dodgers have dominated the series. Over three games, LA has outscored the Mets by a margin of 20-3. Judging by this highly lopsided spread thus far, it appears as though LA is poised to win another.

The 46 road wins by the Dodgers this season were tied with the Milwaukee Brewers for the most in the NL. At the same time, the 46 home wins by New York was among the bottom half of postseason-bound teams.

When it comes to pitching, the situation also favors the Dodgers. Ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto was brilliant in his last start against the San Diego Padres, spinning five scoreless innings. Meanwhile, Mets starter Jose Quintana owns some checkered numbers against the Dodgers.

Run Line: +1.5 -150

Total Runs: O 7 -120

Prediction: Los Angeles W, 9-3