Mets vs. Brewers: NL Wild Card Series Game 3 predictions, odds and picks — Oct 3, MLB 2024

On Thursday, the respective regular-season performances of the New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers will fade into the background as the teams meet for a one-game playoff to keep their seasons alive.

After the Mets claimed an 8-4 victory in the NL Wild Card series, Milwaukee stormed back in the second game. Jackson Chourio had a pair of homers before Garrett Mitchell's two-run shot in the eighth to win it for the Brewers 5-3. Game 3 will be a winner-take-all game, and will take place at 7 pm ET.

"GARRETT MITCHELL GO-AHEAD HOMER" - MLB

Mets vs Brewers recent form and records

The Mets crept into the playoffs on the 163rd day of the season by virtue of splitting a tie-break doubleheader with the Atlanta Braves. 89-73 in the regular season, New York finished six games behind the Phillies in the NL East.

93-69 on the season, and 5-5 in their final ten regular season games, Milwaukee won the NL Central again. The second-place St. Louis Cardinals were ten games behind. Despite making the postseason for five of the last six seasons, Milwaukee has crashed out in the Wild Card round three times since 2019.

Players to Watch

Starting Pitchers

NYM: Jose Quintana (10-10, 3.75 ERA) vs MIL: Tobias Myers (9-6, 3.00 ERA)

Quintana has a 1.250 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 135 K in 170.1 IP.

Last Start: Loss, 4.1 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 9 K vs MIN

Career vs MIL: 9-7 2.98 ERA (130 IP, 43 ER) 14 HR in 23 games

Myers has a 1.174 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 127 K in 138 IP.

Last Start: Win, 4 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 5 K vs NYM

Career vs NYM: 1-0 0.00 ERA (4 IP, 0 ER) 0 HR in 1 game

Must-Watch Hitters

New York

Currently 1-for-5 in the series thus far, Mets fans will be looking to Pete Alonso to get something going. Alonso's last postseason RBI came in the form of a solo home run against the San Diego Padres in the 2022 postseason. Alonso is a .267/.450/.467 in five career playoff games.

Third baseman Mark Vientos is currently 3-for-8 with a pair of RBIs this series. A .266 hitter during the season, Vientos' 27 homers were third on the club.

"Biggest at-bat of Mark Vientos career? NO PROBLEM BABYYYYYY" - JACK

A careeer .286 hitter against the Milwaukee Brewers, right fielder Starling Marte's speed may make a difference maker in the final game of the series. The only member of the Mets to hit 40 RBIs and steal 15 bases, Marte is 2-for-5 this series.

Milwaukee

Even if Milwaukee's season ends on Thursday, Jackson Chourio can certainly take pride in the season he has put forth. The purveyor of two home runs on Wednesday, the 20 year-old Venezuelan hit .275 with 21 home runs and 79 RBIs this year.

"JACKSON CHOURIO AGAIN TIE GAME IN THE 8TH!" - MLB

5-for-8 so far this series, three triples have come off of Brice Trurang's bat. While the infielder has not had a chance to steal, his team-best 50 swipes are evident of a speed threat that could be employed in Game 3.

Mets vs Brewers baseball betting odds

Thursday 3/10	Money Line	Run Spread	Total Runs
New York Mets	+ 110	+ 1.5 -200	O 7.5 -105
Milwaukee Brewers	- 130	- 1.5 +165	U 7.5 -115

Mets vs Brewers expert picks and game prediction

Like many do-for-die games, the outcome will be determined by a combination of luck, and who wants it more. Both teams have shown their ability to hit and score in this series, which has produced 20 runs thus far between the two sides.

Milwaukee's rookie starter, Tobias Myers, tossed a four-inning shutout of the Mets in his only career showing against the club in the dying days of the season. Meanwhile, Mets starter Jose Quintana knows Milwaukee well, evidenced by his 130 innings logged against the club.

Milwaukee had one of the best home records in the NL this season. Because of this, manager Pat Murphy's club claims the edge in the betting markets.

Run Line: -1.5 +165

Total Runs: U 7.5 -115

Prediction: Milwaukee W, 4-3