AP Top 25 Women's College Basketball Poll Ranking Predictions

Joe Cox
Lauren Betts and UCLA could move back to No. 1 for coach Cory Close in this week
Lauren Betts and UCLA could move back to No. 1 for coach Cory Close in this week's AP poll. (Photo Credits: IMAGN)

With the NCAA Tournament shortly upcoming, women's college basketball shifts to overdrive, even in terms of the weekly AP poll.

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Many of the top leagues have already completed their conference tournaments. But with a week ahead of selection Sunday, here's an early guess as to what the shifts of this week's Top 25 poll could be.


Projecting AP Top 25 Women's College Basketball Rankings

After cutting down some SEC Tournament nets, Dawn Staley and Carolina could move up in the AP poll. (Photo Credit: IMAGN)
After cutting down some SEC Tournament nets, Dawn Staley and Carolina could move up in the AP poll. (Photo Credit: IMAGN)

First, let's start with last week's top 25 poll.

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RANKTEAM (First Place Votes)RECORDPOINTSPREVIOUS RANK
1Texas (25)29-27681
2Southern Cal (6)26-27494
3UConn28-36855
4UCLA27-26762
5South Carolina27-36646
6Notre Dame25-46263
7NC State24-55899
8TCU28-357010
9LSU27-44907
10Oklahoma23-645013
11Duke23-743616
12Kentucky22-640515
13Ohio State24-539712
14North Carolina25-63868
15Maryland23-631619
16West Virginia23-630118
17Baylor25-628617
18Tennessee21-823611
19Alabama23-722120
20Kansas State25-622014
21Oklahoma State24-518921
22Florida State23-712824
23Creighton24-58322
24Michigan State21-86723
25South Dakota State26-342NR
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Now our predictions on what might change.

Teams likely falling from the Top 25

Florida State might be the most likely team to slide out of the Top 25. The Seminoles were sitting at No. 22 but followed last week's home loss to Duke with an ACC Tournament loss to No. 14 North Carolina. Yes, both teams were excellent. But consecutive losses in which FSU scored 57 and 56 points might cause them to take a Top 25 slide.

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Oklahoma State could slide out of the Top 25. They sat at No. 21 in last week's rankings, but this week brought only an ugly win over unranked Texas Tech and then a 10-point loss to No. 17 Baylor. It's more likely that OSU just drops a couple spots, but they could fall farther.


Possible top 10 shakeups

Texas will fall from the top spot after an SEC Tournament loss to South Carolina. Likewise, No. 2 USC finally took a loss to UCLA. The odds-on scenario here is that UCLA ends up as the new No. 1 with UConn and South Carolina at second and third. USC and Texas fall from 1-2 to likely 4 and 5 at this point.

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Meanwhile, Duke probably moves into the top 10 after winning the ACC Tournament. LSU or Oklahoma probably grabs the final spot in the Top 10 after playing well in the SEC Tournament.


Potential top 25 newcomers

Given the lack of obvious teams to fall out of the top 25, it might be that nobody moves up, but here are a couple of solid candidates.

Louisville was the top team out of the top 25 last week. But after a 1-1 week, it's uncertain that anybody will be clamoring for UofL to move up. The Cardinals defeated Clemson in the ACC Tournament before falling to eventual champion Duke. They're a 21-10 team that's on the cusp of the top 25 and could sneak in.

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Ole Miss likewise is a team that was near the top 25. Likewise, they also had a 1-1 week. The Rebels bested Mississipi State in the SEC Tournament, but then fell to No. 1 Texas in the quarterfinals. It was a solid performance and Ole Miss could get lucky and move up into the AP Poll's top 25.

What do you think of our AP Poll top 25 picks? Share your take below in our comments section:

Dawn Staley, Geno Auriemma, or Kim Mulkey - who is NCAAW's highest-paid coach? Find out here

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Edited by Bhargav
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