AP Poll Top 25 Men's College Basketball Rankings Prediction after Week 17

The college basketball regular season is almost finished and it's time to talk rankings. The week had a predictably large share of upsets, surprises and disappointments, meaning there could be plenty of movement in the AP's top 25 poll.

Ahead of Monday's poll release, here's an early guess at how it all might shape up:

Projected AP Top 25 Basketball Standings

Expected Ranking After Week 17	Team	Overall Record	Total Ranking Points	Ranking from the previous week
1	Houston	26-3	1545	1
2	Purdue	26-3	1465	2
3	Tennessee	23-6	1455	4
4	Uconn	25-3	1340	3
5	Arizona	23-6	1250	6
6	Iowa State	23-6	1190	8
7	Marquette	22-7	1160	5
8	North Carolina	23-6	1155	9
9	Duke	23-6	1130	10
10	Creighton	22-8	980	12
11	Kansas	21-8	880	7
12	Illinois	22-7	740	13
13	Auburn	22-7	730	11
14	Baylor	21-8	710	15
15	Alabama	20-9	690	14
16	Kentucky	21-8	680	16
17	South Carolina	24-5	650	18
18	Washington State	23-7	480	19
19	St. Mary's	24-7	370	17
20	San Diego State	22-7	300	20
21	Gonzaga	24-6	290	23
22	Utah State	24-5	210	22
23	South Florida	22-5	175	25
24	BYU	21-8	170	NR
25	Dayton	22-6	75	21

Upsets in the college basketball Top 25

Kansas took a pair of losses this week and slid outside the top 10 in our projected AP rankings.

We have Florida sliding out of the top 25 from No. 24 after a loss to South Carolina on Saturday. Dayton barely stayed in our top 25 after a loss to Loyola Chicago on Friday. St. Mary's lost to Gonzaga late Saturday, but that's a loss to a ranked team and didn't drop St. Mary's very far. Other top 25 teams that lost were Kansas (twice), Auburn, Alabama, and Marquette.

Top 10 Shakeups

The biggest news here is Kansas taking consecutive losses, which dropped them from No. 7 all the way down to No. 11. That would mark their first time outside the top 10 all year. Frankly, they probably would have stayed in the top 10, had No. 12 Creighton not bested No. 5 Marquette, which leaped the Blue Jays up the polls to No. 10.

The only other big move was Tennessee getting a bump over a UConn team that hasn't played all week, while UT bested a pair of ranked SEC foes in Auburn and Alabama. Marquette took the aforementioned loss to Creighton, but that was largely a matter of personnel, as Marquette was playing short-handed. Injuries matter, and Marquette didn't take a massive poll drop in our projections.

Potential newcomers to the top 25

It's a short list this week, but by beating Kansas and TCU, BYU joins the top 25 at No. 24. With Florida and Dayton both losing, another spot was up for grabs. BYU was technically No. 26 last week, but the teams that would have been 27th-31st all lost their respective games. So Dayton continues to stay in the poll.

Who would you rank in college basketball's top 25?