The No. 7 Houston Cougars pulled off a 92-86 double-overtime upset while visiting No. 12 Kansas on Saturday. Even as the game neared its end, it was not an outcome most fans or media outlets expected. Hunter Dickinson and Kansas had ESPN's win probability meter by their side for the majority of the game.
Kansas had a 64.5% chance in the last seconds of the first half and 80.7% in the last minute of regulation. Moreover, the Jayhawks had a 99% chance on their side in the last 21 seconds of the first overtime. It was then when Milos Uzan deflected Zeke Mayo's inbound pass to Dickinson and converted the 3-pointer to force double overtime.
Before the last 21 seconds in overtime, Houston had just a 0.4% chance of winning. Thus, the Cougars' win was among the unlikelies victories in the 1,487 Top 25 team games in the last 15 years.
Fans reacted to the numbers behind UH's surprising win.
"Absolute insanity!" a fan wrote.
"They were +25000 live ML. I thought the game was over just looking at that," another fan commented.
"That was basically the logic I used in choosing that moment to turn off the tv and go to bed. I profoundly regret my lack of faith, and will not make this mistake again. #GoCoogs," another fan wrote.
More fans joined in.
"Watching Kansas suffer never gets old," a fan commented.
"Never seen a team choke that bad before in my life. The fact that it was KU, they did it twice & on their home court, is astounding," another fan wrote.
"Sadly, with this KU team a 99.6% chance of victory is nowhere near enough. This @KUHoops team is #1 in finding ways to lose," another fan commented.
Bill Self takes the blame for Kansas' mistake
Since Milos Uzan stole the ball and sank a 3-pointer a few feet beside Hunter Dickinson, the Houston Cougars led on ESPN's probability meter. Kansas scored just 10 more points in the second OT while the visitors posted 16.
In the postgame interview, Kansas coach Bill Self took responsibility for the game-changing play. He said that he should have taken a timeout as soon as Zeke Mayo took four seconds on the inbound pass, which could have avoided the play altogether.
"We didn’t execute, put it on me," he said. "We got a way to get it in that we practice every day and obviously maybe not having KJ (Adams) who’s our best athlete that can get open. But we didn’t make a great effort to get open and didn’t call the timeout when we had one. When the count got to four, I should have done that."
Kansas (14-5, 5-3 Big 12) will now host the UCF Knights on Tuesday before visiting VJ Edgecombe and the Baylor Bears on Saturday.
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