Alabama vs LSU prediction & betting tips - November 9th | college football Week 11

Alabama vs. LSU is one of the most anticipated matchups of Week 11 of the 2024 college football season. The No. 14 Tigers will host the No. 11 Crimson Tide on Saturday at 7:30 p.m.

Both teams look to secure spots in the playoffs after their disappointing performances in recent weeks have left them near the playoff cutoff. Alabama is coming off an open week but had previously picked up a 34–0 win over Missouri. It was a much-needed dominant performance after three straight weeks where the Crimson Tide underwhelmed their fans.

LSU is also coming off an open week and had a disappointing 38–23 loss to No. 15-ranked Texas A&M before that. The Tigers were on a roll, winning their previous six games before the loss.

Alabama vs LSU prediction

Alabama vs. LSU is expected to be one of the closest matchups of the week. Sportsbooks and analytical models agree that Alabama should be a slight favorite, but the margins are close enough, so it could go either way.

Before defeating Missouri 34–0, Alabama (6-2) had three straight poor performances that resulted in two losses. First, the Crimson Tide were dealt a shocking 40–35 loss to No. 24 Vanderbilt on Oct. 5. The next week, they bounced back with a 27–25 win over South Carolina, but it was far closer than most analysts expected.

The three weeks ended with a 24–17 loss to the No. 7 Tennessee. Failure to score at the end of the game was the issue for Alabama in its losses as both games were decided by one score.

Although LSU (6-2) lost its last game, it has not established a trend of disappointing performances yet. The team has performed excellently on offense, scoring 29 points or more in six games and never scoring less than 20. The defense has also been strong, only allowing more than 30 points twice.

However, despite LSU's strengths, the odds and analytical models slightly favor Alabama. Alabama has been given -146 odds as favorites, and LSU has been given +122 odds as underdogs. The Data Skrive model predicts Alabama will win 29–26 on Saturday.

Alabama vs LSU betting tips

Tip #1: Bet on Alabama to win the game (-146).

Tip #2: Bet under the total of 58.5 points (-110).

Tip #3: Bet on LSU to cover the +3.5 point spread (-107).

Alabama vs LSU head-to-head

Alabama and LSU have faced each other 88 times, including every year back to 1964. The Crimson Tide have largely dominated the rivalry, accumulating a record of 56-27-5. This has been true lately as they have won 11 of the last 13 matchups, including a 42–28 win last year.

However, the Tigers have performed better lately, winning two of the last five matchups. Their most recent win came in 2022 when they narrowly defeated the Crimson Tide 32–31. Fans should expect another close matchup between these two historic rivals.