Boise State vs UNLV prediction & betting tips - Dec 6 | College football championship weekend

The No. 10 Boise State Broncos and No. 20 UNLV Rebels will compete for the Mountain West title on Friday, Dec. 6 at 8 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on Fox.

Boise State (11-1) is coming off a 34-18 win over Oregon State last Friday to end its regular season. The Rebels (10-2) are coming off a 38-14 win over Nevada last Saturday, which secured their spot in the Mountain West Championship game.

Boise State vs. UNLV Preview

Heading into the Mountain West Championship game, the Rebels are the underdogs. The Broncos have had a stellar season highlighted by the emergence of Heisman Trophy-contending running back Ashton Jeanty. However, the Rebels have closed the year strong and enter the title game with momentum.

Jeanty has been the engine for Boise State's offense all season. He passed the 200-yard mark again against Oregon State in the regular season finale. However, he will have a much tougher matchup against UNLV, which has the 10th best rush defense in the country.

While the Broncos are favored heading into the game, they have been trending downward lately, only covering the spread once in the last four games. The key for a Broncos victory will be passing the ball. Jeanty will get his yards but if the offense relies too heavily on him, UNLV will be able to key in and force Boise State to be more one-dimensional.

These two teams faced each other in Week 9 with the Broncos narrowly winning 29-24. The game remained close because the Rebels limited Jeanty to 128 yards. It was Jeanty's worst game of the season. If the Rebels can shut Jeanty down again, they have a chance to win.

One of the things that stood out for the Broncos in their last matchup with the Rebels was their defensive line. It did a great job stopping UNLV, sacking quarterback Hajj-Malik Williams six times. Boise State's defense has relied on its pass rush this season to be effective.

For the Rebels, they have had a stellar season despite some early-season issues. Williams has been a dynamic offensive dual threat all season. He is often relied on to not just be a dynamic passer, but also be the team's best rusher. He has 1,735 passing yards and 768 rushing yards this season.

Without an excellent game from their quarterback, it is hard to see a path to victory for the Rebels.

Most analytical models agree that the Broncos have a slight edge. The Data Skrive model predicts a 33-27 win for Boise State.

Boise State vs UNLV Betting tips

Anyone interested in placing a wager on the Boise State vs UNLV matchup should consider following these tips.

Tip #1: Bet Boise State on the moneyline (-187).

Tip #2: Wager on Boise State to cover the -3.5 point spread (-120).

Tip #3: Bet over the 58.5 point total (-110).

Editor's Note: Schedule 24 hours before game start