The first semifinal game in the college football playoff features a program trying to get over the hump against a team that defined much of the past decade. Jim Harbaugh and the Michigan Wolverines hope they’ll see a reversal of fortunes this year after getting hammered by TCU in the semifinals 12 months ago.
After an early-season loss to Texas, the Tide kept hanging, then pulled an upset over Georgia in the SEC title game to be in this position. More than anything else, this is a contest between two great coaches.
While both teams have a lot on the line, it’s Jim Harbaugh, quarterback J.J. McCarthy, and the Wolverines who have the most to lose.
Rose Bowl is a huge test for Jim Harbaugh and J.J. McCarthy
Harbaugh could be in the twilight of his coaching career at Michigan. NFL teams will again come calling once the season is over, and several major investigations await Harbaugh and the Wolverines.
There are potential recruiting violations the NCAA is looking into, as well as the spying scandal the Big Ten is investigating. If Harbaugh decides to coach on Sundays next year, the Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers are the frontrunners, as I’ve reported in the past month. This is also a big test for J.J. McCarthy.
Michigan relied heavily on the running game late in the season. During two of the most important games of the year, Penn State and Ohio State, McCarthy attempted just 28 passes. He won’t be as fortunate against Alabama.
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The Tide’s defensive line is bigger, stronger, and much more explosive than those fielded by the Buckeyes or Nittany Lions. They’ll go toe to toe with the Wolverines' offensive line and have the advantage in many ways. McCarthy will have to throw the ball and throw it often if the Wolverines are to win.
Michigan has several talented pass catchers, including receivers Roman Wilson and Cornelius Johnson, both graded as Day 3 draft picks, and sophomore Colston Loveland, a budding star at tight end. Yet the Tide fields elite talent in the secondary.
Cornerback Kool-Aid McKinstry grades as a potential top-10 selection, while Terrion Arnold projects as a late first-round selection. Both are underclassmen, and both will enter the draft. Factor in safety Malachi Moore, and this will arguably be the toughest test of McCarthy’s college career.
The Michigan defense is solid, but it relies on smart play and a lot of intensity. Against the Tide, they’ll be facing one of the fastest-developing quarterbacks in the nation.
Alabama's Jalen Milroe has been terrific this season
Coming into the season, many wondered how Jalen Milroe could replace Bryce Young, the 2021 Heisman Trophy winner and first pick of the 2023 NFL Draft.
Milroe was a super athlete but more of a runner than a passing quarterback. In fact, Milroe recently admitted that former Alabama offensive coordinator Bill O’Brien recommended he find a position to play other than quarterback.
Milroe has proved the doubters wrong. He showed improvement all season long, then he led the Tide to a last-second victory over interstate rival Auburn with a fantastic scramble and pinpoint 30-yard strike in the corner of the end zone.
Milroe topped that performance with a methodical, mistake-free victory over unbeaten Georgia in the SEC title game to put Alabama into the playoffs.
The redshirt sophomore has already announced he will be returning to Alabama in 2024, and if he continues to improve, Milroe could end up a top-10 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft.
Rose Bowl verdict: Final thoughts on Michigan vs Alabama
The pressure is on Michigan in this game; they are expected to win, and Harbaugh has not been able to get the program into a national championship contest. For Alabama, it’s all gravy at this point, as few expected them to be in this position. Alabama has the better talent, yet Michigan always finds ways to win.
In the end, it will be a battle of two great coaches, which will likely determine the outcome.
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