Stage 11
Avranches to Mont Saint Michel
The race’s first individual time trial — known as the “race of truth” — should indicate which yellow jersey contenders are truly on form. At 33 km long, stage 11 is fairly short and so the time gaps at the finish should not be extreme.
Apart from a tight bend in Ducy (9.5 km), there are few technical difficulties but the peloton, which starts at intervals of two minutes then three minutes for the final riders, could have to deal with crosswinds as they ride towards the world famous Mont Saint Michel.
Stage 12
Fougeres to Tours
On paper, the 218 km ride from Fougeres to Tours is a virtual straight line which cuts diagonally across France towards the Alps. The stage features few climbs, little technical difficulty and looks to have sprint finish written all over it.
Stage 13
Tours to Saint-Amand-Montrond
With the Alps imminent, organisers have given the sprinters and their teams a final chance to shine. There is only one climb — the category four Cote de Crotz climb (1.2 km) — but this stage is virtually guaranteed to finish in a bunch or group sprint for the line.
Stage 14
Saint-Pourcain-Sur-Sioule to Lyon
After the straightforward stages of previous days, armchair fans should be glued to their televisions for a stage which should be hotly contested.
Seven “punchy” climbs, ranging from 1.6 to 6.3 km in length, should entice attacks especially with the final ascent, the 1.8 km Croix-Rousse, coming only 10 km from the finish.
Stage 15
Givors to Mont Ventoux
At 242.5 km long, stage 15 is long and so should entice a breakaway. But with the prestige of a stage victory atop the legendary Mont Ventoux — the theatre of both tragedy and dreams on the race — they are unlikely to be afforded too much ground before the peloton containing the yellow jersey favourites reaches the foot of the final, 20.8 km ascent. The final two kilometres of the climb, where the gradient reaches 10 percent, should be decisive for the stage win.
Stage 16
Vaison-La-Romaine to Gap
Although not a “classic” Alpine stage, the 168 km ride to Gap, held after the second rest day, is not without danger. Only three categorised climbs feature but the approach into Gap, as now retired Spaniard Joseba Beloki would testify, can be tricky.
While trying to distance US rival Lance Armstrong in 2003, former ONCE rider Beloki crashed on the tricky Rochette descent and suffered a hip injury which severely compromised the rest of his career. Those with strong downhill skills, like Cadel Evans, can theoretically put the pressure on those who do not.
Stage 17
Embrun to Chorges
What the stage 17 time trial lacks in distance will be made up for by the difficulty of its two climbs — the 6.4km Cote de Puy Sanieres and the 6.9 km Cote de Reallon — on a scenic route above the spectacular Lake of Serre-Poncon.
Both are inside the first 20 km of the 32 km race against the clock and will have a small say in deciding this year’s yellow jersey. The contenders who have managed to recover from the efforts of previous days will have to conjure their best combination of power and climbing skills if they are to remain in the game.
Stage 18
Gap to Alpe d’Huez
The first of three consecutive days in the Alps, stage 18 features six categorised climbs including two “unclassified” ascents of the legendary Alpe d’Huez. After the third climb (Col d’Ornon), where the first attacks could be launched, the peloton will begin the first ascent of the Alpe and its famous 21 hairpin bends.
The short (3.8 km) but exposed Col de la Sarenne follows before a long descent leads to the foot of the Alpe for a second ascension which should be led by the remnants of an elite group of protagonists.
Stage 19
Bourg d’Oisans to Le Grand Bornand
Arguably the worst possible stage for the non-climbers, stage 19 begins with two whopping ascensions: the Col du Glandon (21.6 km) and the Col de la Madeleine (19.2 km), before finishing with a series of smaller climbs on the way to the downhill finish at Le Grand Bornand. This is possibly a stage for breakaway riders who can climb but that prospect could change depending on how the remaining yellow jersey contenders are placed.
Stage 20
Annecy to Annecy-Semnoz
On paper, a 125 km-long stage is easy for any professional rider but the peloton is likely to make up for the short distance by increasing the intensity on what could be the last opportunity for any remaining yellow jersey candidates.
There are six climbs in total, including the category one Mont Revard (15.9 km) and the unclassified ascent to Annecy-Semnoz, a 10.8km ascension with a punishing gradient of 8.5 percent, and some passages at 10.5.
Stage 21
Versailles to Paris Champs Elysees
A rare nocturnal start for the final stage into Paris will add some innovation to this year’s finale. Although it will be a long day for the riders, they are unlikely to sway from celebrating their three-week campaign on the way from Versailles to Paris before cranking up the pace once inside the capital.
The race really begins on the first of the 10 laps around the city’s most famous landmarks and a likely sprint finish on the Champs Elysees.