2018 FIFA World Cup qualifiers UEFA: Netherlands on brink of elimination while Poland on the cusp of their first World Cup since 2006

#9. Group I

Croatia have a strong chance of winning Group I

This is the closest group of the qualifying as Croatia and Iceland occupy the top two spots with 16 points each while Turkey and Ukraine occupy the next two spots with 14 points each.

For both Croatia and Iceland, a minimum of four points from their remaining two matches will be enough. While Croatia will have an easy win against Finland, Ukraine won’t be an easy team to beat, especially at home where they have won all matches - except for a draw against Iceland.

As far as Iceland are concerned, a win against Kosovo is almost assured, but beating Turkey in their own backyard will be a Herculean task for them.

However, if Ukraine and Turkey win both their matches against Kosovo and Croatia and Iceland and Finland respectively, then both will take the top two spots with the goal difference determining who will take top position.

However, if all four teams get four points from their matches, then Croatia will qualify and Iceland will have to settle for a play-off spot.

Winner: Croatia

Runner-up: Turkey