Analysing the transfer gossip – 5th June Part One: Ronaldo, Robben, Spurs and more

Bayern Munich want Liverpool striker Luis Suarez, 26, and are prepared to offer winger Arjen Robben, 29, as part of a swap deal.

Full story: The Sun

What’s the story? Nah. Bayern seem to be on an inevitable course towards getting Robert Lewandowski and Real Madrid Luis Suarez.

Does it make sense? If this could happen for Liverpool they would be delirious with happiness. But, there’s no way Robben would go to an non Champions League club, and nor should he.

Is the price right? Suarez’s price is £50m. I can’t see Liverpool being bullied in to less when he has four years on his contract. Robben must be worth £20-25m. If Liverpool could somehow get £20m and Robben for Suarez it’s the deal of the decade.

Will it happen? 0/10 – Bayern and Suarez have eyes elsewhere, Robben belongs in the Champions League.

Liverpool hope to keep Denmark defender Daniel Agger, 28, at Anfield despite interest from big-spending Monaco.

Full story: The Guardian

What’s the story? Agger was wanted by Man City last summer, and went on to have the worst season of his Liverpool career. So obviously Monaco are waving their cheque book at him.

Does it make sense? I think it does for Liverpool. Especially if they get the type of money being discussed. I guess Monaco could do with better defenders.

Is the price right? The talk is of something in the £25m region which is unfathomable for a 28 year old injury prone defender coming off a down year. Liverpool should snap Monaco’s hand off for anything over £12m, never mind this much.

Will it happen? 8/10 – This one has heated up with lots of credible sources discussing it, so probably.

Arsenal defender Laurent Koscielny, 27, a £15m summer target for Bayern Munich, admits he could leave the Gunners if they fail to show ambition in the transfer market.

Full story: Daily Mail

What’s the story? The familiar ‘ambition in the transfer market’ refrain from an Arsenal player. The Gunners simply must not sell Koscielny. Over the last few months he has emerged as one of the top defenders in the world and would be a big upgrade for Bayern.

Does it make sense? It does for Bayern but would be insane for Arsenal. If they really are attacking this summer’s market as they say they are, where would selling one of their best players fit in?

Is the price right? £15m is about fair enough but Arsenal have finally fixed their defence. They must not break it up.

Will it happen? 3/10 – All signs point to Arsenal finally putting their foot down and not selling.

France international midfielder Etienne Capoue, 24, has admitted he will be looking to leave Toulouse this summer, with Arsenal and Tottenham both interested.

Full story: Metro

What’s the story? Capoue is the latest highly rated French league defensive midfielder to emerge as a big physical dominating presence and Toulouse aren’t in Europe so if he wants to get on the plane to Brazil next summer he’ll need a bigger stage.

Does it make sense? I’m not convinced Spurs or Arsenal are the best landing spot for him. Spurs have Sandro if he gets fit and Arsenal have the reinvented Aaron Ramsey who really improved in his anchor man role. I’m not convinced Capoue is a significant enough upgrade to be prioritised.

Is the price right? He’d probably be in the £8-12m region but if Arsenal really want to spend a lot on an anchor man, they’d be better off going for the superior Sven Bender.

Will it happen? 2/10 – doesn’t fit the positional need or price of either club.