5 reasons why Liverpool won't make the top four in the 2017/18 season

#2 They’ve already dropped crucial points

Liverpool have already dropped crucial points, like in their loss to Spurs

2015/16 saw Manchester City finish fourth in the Premier League on 66 points, with a total of 19 wins, 9 draws and 10 losses. Essentially, they won as many games as they both drew and lost. Last season Liverpool themselves finished fourth with 76 points, winning 22, drawing 10 and losing just 6, so they won six more games than they lost or drew.

Not even touching upon the improvement in overall league strength over the last two seasons shown by the increase in points needed to finish 4th, it’s pretty clear that judging on Liverpool’s record so far, they’re going to struggle to match that.

Up to this point in the season they’ve played 11 games; they’ve won 5, drawn 4 and lost 2. So essentially, they’ve dropped more points than they’ve won thus far. What’s more, they’ve only played four games against the bigger sides in the league – a 4-0 victory over Arsenal was offset by a dour draw with Manchester United, and heavy defeats – 5-0 and 4-1 – to Manchester City and Tottenham respectively.

It’s not difficult to see a scenario where Liverpool continue to struggle against the bigger sides. Throw in a handful of likely poor results against lower sides – we’ve already seen a couple of them, such as the 1-1 draw with Newcastle – and it’s easy to see that Liverpool are just too likely to drop important points to finish in the Champions League spots. By already having six negative results on their ledger, they’re well on their way.