EPL Ref Review tables 2012: Evaluating the decision-making competence (Part- 2)

Arsenal v Manchester City - Premier League

LONDON, ENGLAND – APRIL 08: Referee Martin Atkinson in action during the Barclays Premier League match between Arsenal and Manchester City at Emirates Stadium on April 8, 2012 in London, England. (Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images)

Untold Arsenal has a team of qualified referees who have reviewed more than 40% of the EPL games from last season. The reviews themselves were based on full match video footage with the advantage of video technology features such as slow motion and pause.

By reviewing those 155 games we have made a database of more than 7000 decisions that have been judged by our panel of dedicated and qualified referees.

The numbers you will see are based on those decisions and those reviewed games.

In this summary of all the team reviews we will take a look at some of the different decisions.

I would like to stress that the numbers we show in this article are just based on the decisions from the refs. This is not about which teams got the decisions. The numbers are based on the decisions from the refs in the games of said teams.

Of course for any team it is better to end up with a high score of correct decisions. After all name me one football supporter who wants to see referees making mistakes and screwing up games?

So in a way it is of course good to have a high % score of correct decisions.

In this article we will focus on the “other” decisions, the offside decisions and the yellow card decisions. The other decisions and offside decisions are weighted with 1 point in our reviews. The yellow cards were weighted with 2 points.

“OTHER” DECISIONS

The “other decisions” are the decisions that are being made “in the middle of the field”. It is all little fouls, pushes, trips, shoves, handballs, dangerous play, …. in short all the fouls that happen somewhere on the field outside the penalty area.

To clarify a few things first about this type of decisions. When we could not judge the decision because of lack of images or replays we gave the decision to the ref as a correct one. Because we always did it like that in case of doubt: we gave the decision to the ref.

Correct decisionsother+/- Average
1SWANSEA81,3409,380
2ASTON VILLA78,4726,512
3WIGAN76,4464,486
4BLACKBURN76,3644,404
5LIVERPOOL75,8263,866
6MAN C75,0543,094
7WBA75,0003,040
8BOLTON74,2542,294
9CHELSEA73,6111,651
10MAN U72,6190,659
11TOTTENHAM72,2850,325
12SUNDERLAND71,9910,031
13NORWICH71,096-0,864
14EVERTON70,419-1,541
15WOLVES68,844-3,116
16NEWCASTLE67,611-4,349
17QPR67,557-4,403
18ARSENAL67,412-4,548
19FULHAM65,909-6,051
20STOKE65,447-6,513

So we see that Swansea is the team where the refs made the most correct decisions about fouls in the middle of the field. This is fouls for and against both teams on the field when Swansea was one of the teams playing. So Swansea fans have not only been blessed with some excellent football the way it is played by the best players, with the ball on the ground and with a fluent passing game. They also have been blessed with referees who have done their best to do their games as good as possible.

Swansea is the ONLY TEAM in the league that has seen a correct decision % of more than 80%. I think this is the standard that should be the minimum for the referees in the PL. Our numbers show it can be done. So why don’t they keep that level of performance for other teams?

In total 12 teams have had the honour of having a correct decisions percentage of more than 70%. On paper that is enough in most countries. But that means that 8 teams didn’t get that score in their games! How can you say that the referees in the PL are good enough when 40% of the teams do net receive the strict minimum that is required?

All 20 teams should have a correct decisions % above 70%. And as long as this is not happening the PGMOL and the referees are not good enough. There is no other way but to put it that way.

As this is an Arsenal blog I point at the fact that Arsenal is in 18th place in this table. So very low near the bottom of the table. Bottom of the table is Stoke City. They have seen the most awful refereeing in the league. And that is without even thinking about their style of football.

OFFSIDE DECISIONS

The next table we will show is the offside decisions. To clarify a few things first about this type of decisions. When we could not judge the decision because of lack of images or replays we gave the decision to the ref as a correct one. Because we always did it like that in case of doubt: we gave the decision to the ref.

Correct decisionsoffside+/- Average
1TOTTENHAM95,1924,993
2NEWCASTLE95,0504,851
3QPR94,1183,919
4BOLTON93,8783,679
5ASTON VILLA93,3333,134
6LIVERPOOL93,1822,983
7BLACKBURN91,6671,468
8ARSENAL90,6980,499
9SWANSEA90,6250,426
10NORWICH90,164-0,035
11WOLVES89,474-0,725
12FULHAM89,474-0,725
13WBA88,889-1,310
14MAN U88,889-1,310
15EVERTON88,636-1,563
16MAN C88,550-1,649
17CHELSEA87,342-2,857
18STOKE87,179-3,020
19SUNDERLAND85,185-5,014
20WIGAN78,378-11,821

This season the head of the PGMOL came out with some numbers, telling us that 99% of the offside decisions were correct. Just take a look at this league table then. Our average was just over 90% and as been said we gave the benefit of the doubt to the ref very easy.

Not one team came close to the claimed 99% score from Mike Riley. The closest was Tottenham Hotspur with 95% and Newcastle also got above the 95% mark. 9 teams got a score above our league average score. And 10 teams got a score of over 90% in total. The other 10 teams are below the 90% mark. With even Wigan only getting a score of 78%.

How on earth can we take Mike 99% Riley seriously after this? If he wouldn’t have claimed that 99% we could say about the offside decisions: oh, well this will be the highest possible score that can be made on this. But after Mike 99 raising the bar and expectations to this height he is the one to blame for our disappointment about this score.

As this is an Arsenal blog I gladly point at the fact that Arsenal is in 8th place in this league table. And Arsenal is one of the “lucky” teams that has a score that is higher than the league average.

Yellow Card decisions

The next type of decisions is the first that has a weight on it: the yellow card decisions league table. We came up with a league average of 62,24% correct decisions on yellow cards. An already devastating low number. Let us see how the different teams fared.

Correct decisionsyellow+/- Average
1ASTON VILLA68,96612,677
2NEWCASTLE68,23511,946
3SWANSEA64,2867,997
4BLACKBURN62,2225,933
5ARSENAL59,3613,072
6EVERTON58,7302,441
7STOKE57,5761,287
8CHELSEA57,4471,158
9MAN C57,0510,762
10WIGAN56,7570,468
11TOTTENHAM56,6370,348
12SUNDERLAND55,172-1,117
13WBA53,571-2,718
14MAN U53,165-3,124
15LIVERPOOL53,097-3,192
16QPR50,000-6,289
17FULHAM49,020-7,269
18NORWICH48,889-7,400
19BOLTON47,368-8,921
20WOLVES38,636-17,653

The team with the best score is Aston Villa. But even in their games the 70% score was not reached. So all in all this really is a disappointing result. But in all this worse decisions making Aston Villa had the privilege of seeing the best of the worst one could say.

11 teams got a score above the league average. Meaning we also got 9 teams with a lower score than the league average. And in the games when Wolverhampton was around it was just terrible. This must be the most miserable number of them all. More than 17% below the already unacceptable league average.

I don’t know how to describe this. This is so disappointing.

And if I can shine a little light in this total darkness and as this is an Arsenal blog I like to point at the score of the games in which Arsenal played a part. Arsenal finished in 5th place in this league table. So in the Arsenal games we can say that only 4 decisions in 10 were wrong when yellow cards had to be given or not of course.

In the next article we will move on to the most important decisions: red cards, penalties and goals.

For the first part of this article click here.

Edited by Staff Editor
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