International breaks are usually uneventful but this one was far from dull. The headlines from Raheem Sterling’s altercation with Joe Gomez had just begun to dissipate when Spurs made the shock announcement that they had parted ways with their manager of five years, Mauricio Pochettino.
The appointment of Jose Mourinho has taken the entire football world by surprise and his appointment is likely to rejuvenate a Spurs side that has struggled this season. It is probably worth waiting for one more gameweek to see what personnel and setup Mourinho deploys against West Ham, before jumping on their assets for the plum home fixture against Bournemouth.
3 players to Pick
Richarlison de Andrade (NOR)
Norwich City are bottom of the table after a strong start to the season and their visit to Everton presents a great opportunity to take a punt on Everton’s Brazilian talisman. Their leading scorer with three goals, he leads the way for shots (32), shots on target (SoT) (10) amongst their players and trails only Dominic Calvert-Lewin (3.31) for xG (2.70).
He has also created 11 chances with only Gylfi Sigurdsson (25) and Lucas Digne (31) creating more. The Toffees have been far from prolific this season, managing only 13 in 12 games but it is worth noting that eight of these came at Goodison Park. They are ranked sixth both for shots (162) and ‘big chances’ (27) indicating they have been a tad unlucky.
Only Southampton (29) have conceded more goals than Norwich’s 28 this season and no team has allowed opponents more SoT than their 75. They are also second-worst for ‘big chances’ conceded with 38, trailing only West Ham (39). A cheeky captain pick if you’re looking for an explosive differential this week.
Raheem Sterling (CHE)
After making headlines over the international break for the wrong reasons after his bust-up with Joe Gomez, Raheem Sterling should be raring to go for the visit of Chelsea to the Eithad in gameweek 13 and with the suspension to Bernardo Silva, there are no concerns about his starting role. Only Mohamed Salah and Sergio Aguero (both 40) have taken more shots than Sterling’s 38 this season and only Tammy Abraham (16) has been presented more ‘big chances’ than his 13.
He is also behind only Salah (6.65) for expected goals (xG) amongst midfielders with 5.75. Despite sitting fourth in the table, Manchester City lead the league for goals (35), shots (258), SoT (86), ‘big chances’ (55) and xG (32.40). Chelsea haven’t kept an away clean sheet this season and have conceded 12 goals in six matches.
Only Watford, Aston Villa (both 13) and Newcastle United (14) have conceded more. They are also ranked 11th for ‘big chances’ conceded in away matches with 13. The match promises to be a goal-fest with Chelsea unlikely to park the bus like most sides do at the Etihad and Sterling should find plenty of space down Azpilicueta’s side.
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (SOU)
With Liverpool travelling to a defensively resolute Crystal Palace side, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is a decent captain shout as the Gunners look to bounce back after their defeat against Leicester City in gameweek 12.
The Gabonese has scored four goals in six matches at the Emirates this season, only Teemu Pukki, Marcus Rashford, Sergio Aguero (all five) and Jamie Vardy (six) have scored more amongst forwards on home turf.
He is also ranked seventh for ‘big chances’ with five and fifth for SoT with eight. Arsenal have scored 11 goals in their six home matches this season, only Leicester (14), Liverpool (17) and Manchester City (19) have managed more.
They are also ranked third for SoT in home matches with 35, only Man. City (42) and Liverpool (47) faring better. No team has conceded more goals than their opponents Southampton (29) this season and only Newcastle (125), Norwich (138) and Villa (151) have allowed opponents more shots in the box (SiB) than their 124.
3 Players to drop
Mohamed Salah (CRY)
Mohamed Salah is believed to have suffered a reoccurrence of the ankle injury that saw him miss the fixture against Manchester United earlier this season, with Sky Sports reporting that he is ruled out of the weekend’s fixture against Palace.
He has already lost £0.2m in value from his starting price of £12.5m and could suffer another if Klopp confirms his unavailability in his press conference. With the games coming thick and fast in the Winter period, it is unlikely that Salah features in all nine games over 40 days while carrying a niggling injury and a move to Mane makes sense given the Senegalese’s form.
Lewis Dunk (LEI)
Lewis Dunk is suspended for Leicester’s visit in gameweek 13 and after that, the Seagulls play Liverpool, Arsenal, Wolves and Palace in their next four fixtures, a daunting run. Clean sheet prospects look bleak for Brighton during this spell and with other cheaper defensive options like Janmaat, Rico etc surfacing, it might be a good time to ditch the Seagulls’ centre-back.
Brighton’s underlying statistics indicate they have been lucky to keep four clean sheets so far. They have allowed opponents 27 ‘big chances’ with only six teams allowing more.
Andriy Yarmolenko (TOT)
After a strong start to the season, the Hammers find themselves in 16th with just one point from their last five matches. Things are unlikely to get better for them anytime soon given their next four opponents – Tottenham, Chelsea, Wolves and Arsenal.
Spurs have not been their usual selves this season but Mourinho’s appointment should make them a much more daunting prospect, at least in the short term. The games against Chelsea and Wolves are away and the Hammers have struggled on the road so far, scoring just six goals.
Yarmolenko was even benched for their last game so his starting spot is also far from certain, and given the nature of the upcoming hectic period, he looks like a liability in your FPL squad at the moment.