Mexico and Honduras square off at the Estadio Nemesio Díez in the second leg of the CONCACAF Nations League quarter-finals on Friday. Having lost 2-0 last Friday, Javier Aguirre’s men face an uphill battle to overturn their first-leg deficit and secure a spot in the semis.
Despite having most of the ball and being the dominant team for most of the game, Mexico failed to take the initiative and lost 2-0 to Honduras in the first leg of their Nations League quarter-final clash last Friday.
This came four months since their disappointing outing in the 2024 Copa America, where they suffered their first group-stage exit since 2015 after picking up four points from a possible nine in Group B.
While Mexico will be looking to turn the tie on its head on Tuesday, they have scored three or more goals in just one of their last nine competitive games since July 2023 — a run that does not bode well for their clash at the Estadio Nemesio Díez.
As for Honduras, Celtic forward Luis Palma grabbed the headlines in Friday’s reverse leg as he netted both goals off the bench in the second half to cap off a brilliant cameo.
Before that, Reinaldo Rueda’s side picked up seven points from five matches in Group B to clinch second place in the table, edging out third-placed Nicaragua on goal difference.
Honduras suffered a heartbreaking penalty-shootout loss to Mexico in the Nations League quarter-finals last year and will head into Tuesday’s clash looking to complete their revenge.
Mexico vs Honduras Head-To-Head and Key Numbers
- Mexico boasts a clear upper hand in the history of this fixture, having won 29 of the last 49 meetings between the sides,
- Honduras have picked up 10 wins in that time, while the spoils have been shared on 10 occasions.
- Mexico have failed to win four of their last five competitive games — losing three and claiming one draw — with a 1-0 victory over Jamaica in June’s Copa America being the exception.
- In contrast, Honduras have lost just one of their most recent seven competitive outings, claiming five wins and one draw since the start of June.
Mexico vs Honduras Prediction
It has been a mediocre run of results for Mexico of late as they find themselves on the cusp of an early exit from a second straight continental tournament. Honduras got the job done in the first leg and we predict they will lose narrowly here but win the tie on aggregate.
Prediction: Mexico 1-0 Honduras
Mexico vs Honduras Betting Tips
Tip 1: Result - Mexico to win
Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals - No (There have been fewer than three goals scored in four of the last five meetings between the two nations)
Tip 3: Over 10.5 corners - No (There have also been fewer than 11 corner kicks in eight of the last nine clashes)