#1 Arsenal
If there is anyone except Nuno Santo (Wolves coach) who has completely turned the tables, it's Unai Emery. Several pundits on various shows, notably Sky Sports, considered Arsenal the "least" likely to finish in the top four amidst the starting games of the season. And yet, here they are, sitting on 3rd with a two-point lead over United and Spurs, with a game in hand as well.
However, Arsenal's defence has let them down plenty of times, as they have shipped in the most number of goals (39) amongst the big six, only behind Manchester United (43). But, more often than ever, the lethal duo of Aubameyang and Lacazette have bailed out the North London club.
The remaining games for Arsenal in the Premier League are against all the mid-table teams on the table right now. They have to play Wolves, Watford, Leicester City and Everton, who sit 7th, 8th, 9th, and 10th on the table, respectively. Arsenal's away form has certainly been a matter of concern for Unai Emery, but when the gaffer had Sokratis and Koscienly at his disposal, they have completely dominated the game, even in away games. The onus fell on Sokratis in absence of Holding, and he has held the back line better than any of Arsenal's defenders. For instance, the away games against Tottenham, Manchester United and Chelsea.
Arsenal are in red hot form right now and they can go on to win all their remaining fixtures if their centre-back pairing is fit and fine till the end of the season. Arsenal at the Emirates have finished the best of teams with ease as their home record this season has been sensational. They rarely broke into a sweat at home, something the Gunners have to replicate while playing away from home.
The 3rd position is clearly theirs to lose, and if Emery can motivate his players, especially the defence to keep up with such brilliant performances on a regular basis till the business end of the season, the top four finish will tilt their way for sure.
Top four finish probability: 8/10