Premier League 2018/19: Week 10 Predictions

Burnley v Chelsea

Burnley's Europa League qualifying campaign clearly had a detrimental effect on their early season form, four successive defeats leaving them with only a solitary point by mid-September.

Conversely, Chelsea have been one of the surprise teams of the season, despite being league champions only two years ago. The team seemed to be in decline, and few expected Sarri to embed and integrate his style so quickly, particularly as pre-season preparation was truncated due to the World Cup.

Chelsea's slick passing and possession-based game has left them unbeaten after nine games, and only two points behind the league leaders. Their away form has been particularly impressive, picking up ten of a possible 12 points. By contrast, Burnley have only one home win, a surprisingly comfortable 4-0 victory over Bournemouth.

In perfect symmetry, Burnley are five points worse off than at this stage last season and Chelsea five better off. Coming off a five-goal thumping to Man City is bound to have some effect on Burnley's confidence and approach to this match.

Burnley have the second lowest number of shots and shots on target in the PL, while Chelsea have the second highest. Burnley also concede more shots than any other team in the league. On this basis expect Chelsea to dominate possession, create more chances and win - a 2-1 win for the away team.