Switzerland vs Italy Prediction and Betting Tips | June 29th 2024

Italy v Switzerland - 2022 FIFA World Cup Qualifier
Switzerland and Italy meet in the UEFA Euro 2024 knockout stage

Switzerland will square off against defending champions Italy at Olympiastadion Berlin in the round of 16 of the UEFA Euro 2024 on Saturday. The two teams will meet in the competition for the second edition in a row after they met in the group stage in Euro 2020.

The Red Crosses enjoyed an unbeaten run in the group stage and finished behind Germany in Group A. After a 3-1 win in their campaign opener over Hungary, they played out 1-1 draws against Scotland and Germany. Interestingly, all five goals were scored by different goalscorers in the group stage.

Michel Aebischer had a goal and an assist to his name and Remo Freuler bagged two assists. Xherdan Shaqiri played in just one game in the group stage and scored the equalizer against Scotland.

The reigning champions began their campaign with a 2-1 comeback win over Albania but suffered a 1-0 loss to Spain in their second match. In their final group-stage match, they played out a 1-1 draw against Croatia, with Mattia Zaccagni scoring the equalizer in the seventh minute of injury time.


Switzerland vs Italy Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

  • The two teams have a long-standing rivalry and have crossed paths 61 times in all competitions since 1911. The Azzurri have dominated proceedings against their northern rivals with 29 wins. Rossocrociati have eight wins to their name and 24 games have ended in draws.
  • They met for the first time in the European Championship in the previous edition, with the eventual champions recording a 3-0 win in the group stage.
  • The Azzurri are unbeaten in their last 11 meetings against Rossocrociati, with their last defeat coming in the FIFA World Cup qualifier in 1993.
  • Both teams conceded three goals in the group stage, a goal each in three games, and Switzerland outscored the reigning champions 5-3.

Switzerland vs Italy Prediction

The Azzurri have conceded one goal each in their three group-stage games and will look to improve upon that record. Interestingly, they have not kept a clean sheet in their last seven games in the European Championship. Riccardo Calafiori is a confirmed absentee for Luciano Spalletti, as the defender is suspended due to yellow card accumulation.

Italy have two wins, two draws, and two losses at the Olympiastadion, including a 5-3 penalty shootout victory against France after a 1-1 draw in the 2006 World Cup final.

Nati have gone unbeaten in the group stage of the competition for the first time since the 2016 edition. They were eliminated from the round of 16 that year. They made it to the quarterfinals in Euro 2020, which was their best performance in the competition.

Interestingly, all three of their games in the knockout stage of the European Championship have been decided by penalty shootouts. Murat Yakin will also be without a defender in this match, as Silvan Widmer is suspended due to yellow card accumulation.

This match is expected to be a closely contested affair and is likely to head into extra time and a penalty shootout, which Italy should win.

Prediction: Switzerland 1-1 Italy (Italy to win on penalties)


Switzerland vs Italy Betting Tips

Tip 1: Result - Draw (Italy to win on penalties)

Tip 2: Goals - Over/Under 2.5 Goals - Under 2.5 goals

Tip 3: At least one goal to be scored in the second half - Yes

Tip 4: Lorenzo Pellegrini to score or assist any time - Yes

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Edited by Peter P
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