An analysis: Who will win the Premier League this season?

English Premier League trophy

As we enter the final phase of the Barclays Premier League, possibly the most open in its 23 years of existence, we can safely say that Arsenal are just out of the race, leaving the responsibility to Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester City. How the tables have turned, from Arsenal being the big favourites along with Chelsea and Man City, to Manchester United struggling to even attain a position that would guarantee them Europa League football, to Liverpool being the main favourite going to the home stretch.

In this article, based on past history and form, the three contenders (Chelsea, Liverpool and Man City) have been compared in terms of their final run in of fixtures, and an estimated number of points.

With Liverpool and Man City expected to be level on 87 points come May 11th, it should be a matter of who scores more goals. Both sides have been prolific in terms of scoring goals, sometimes scoring for fun. However, it could turn out to be more than fun come the last phase of a season that has been very surprising, as well as exciting. Also, the experience of Man City in winning the title (coincidentally won it on goal difference in 2012-13, where they were level on 87 points with Man United) would say that history could turn in their favour.

The key players for each team, Suarez for Liverpool, Hazard for Chelsea and Yaya Toure for Man City will really have to show the worth of the money spent on them, having had a wonderful season for their respective teams. The trio have managed a fair share of the goals scored by each of their teams, and will be the go-to men come the last 6 fixtures of the season.

Also, Chelsea, playing in the quarters of the Champions League, will suffer as a result and will give the fresher teams an advantage going into each of their games. This should be one of the greatest title races ever.