Group A consists of the hosts Brazil who have been handed what some may see as an easy group. Croatia will be their main threat for top spot but the hosts should stride through to the knockout rounds. Cameroon and Mexico complete the group but the two countries could be tricky opponents for Luiz Felipe Scolari and co.
Brazil
The hosts, and, as the build-up to the competition will almost certainly bill them, the tournament’s winners-in waiting. The main problem facing Brazil in the summer – besides an astonishing level of expectancy – is that, having qualified automatically, they won’t have played a competitive fixture in almost a calendar year.
That said, their recent performances in friendlies has looked ominous for their competitors – since trouncing the world champions in the final of the 2012 Confederations Cup, the Selecao have won five of their six games to an aggregate scoreline of 20-3, with prominent players such as Hulk, Neymar and Oscar all looking fearsome.
Key Player – Oscar
Though it is Neymar, Barcelona’s glitzy striker, who will garner most of the publicity for his side, the performances of Chelsea’s playmaker could well be the defining factor in Brazil’s summer. Oscar is, of course, a fine creator and genuine goal threat, but also possesses a tactical understanding and level of off-the-ball application that belies his 22 years.
It is telling that shortly after his arrival, Jose Mourinho effectively appointed the Brazilian as his playmaker-in-chief ahead of Juan Mata and Eden Hazard, two players of higher pedigree, and the midfielder will have a crucial role to play in both the attacking and defensive shape of his side in the summer.
Best Young Player – Neymar
This summer could well be to Neymar what the summer of 1998 was to Ronaldo. That is to say, the performance that definitively announces him as a globally recognised talent. It seems almost nonsensical to say about a £50 million centre-forward playing – and playing with distinction – for one of the planet’s finest sides, but Neymar is yet to show his best performances on the sport’s grandest stages.
Mainly, this is because he’s not yet had the chance. This season’s Champions League may well offer him one, and he did his very best at the Confederations Cup, although that tournament remains inescapably secondary to its elder cousin.
Neymar belongs to a minute category of elite-level players, perhaps only alongsideLuis Suarez and Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who take it upon themselves to constantly surprise spectators with innovation and improvisation. It is the most joyous of talents, if not always the most effective, and surely Neymar’s ability to astonish will be on display to some degree in the summer.
Manager – Luiz Felipe Scolari
That Big Phil has already been there and done it (winning the tournament with Brazil in 2002) both works in the manager’s favour – he will have the trust of his fans and players – and against it, cranking up home expectations to levels that his squad could really do without.
That aside, he seems to have rediscovered himself during his second stint at Brazil’s helm after a bizarre (and, at £11 million a year, offensively lucrative) hiatus in Uzbekistani club management.
Croatia
Now an established side amongst what could be seen as the second tier of international football, Croatia will be one of many nations who’ll see a semi-final spot within their reaches. With a number of experienced, reputable players – Luka Modric,Mario Mandzukic and Dario Srna chief among them, although veteran centre-back Josep Simunic will miss the tournament due to a ban for chanting a pro-Nazi slogan – Croatia are a technically accomplished and aesthetically decent outfit for whom a group-stage exit would go down as a huge disappointment.
Key Player – Luka Modric
Simply one of the most pleasing players to watch in world football. Modric glides across the turf with the air of a man untroubled by the chaos around him, and controls and passes the ball as if his feet were made of velvet and Velcro.
He has also long since graduated from a promising talent to a genuinely world-class one and thus will hold much of his country’s weight upon his shoulders. Playing every week for a club with the profile of Real Madrid should help him cope with such pressure, and Modric is now a recognised member of the first team at the Bernabau, having created on average just over one chance a match over his 20 appearances so far this term.
Best Young Player – Dejan Lovren
Perhaps pushing the ‘young’ tag at 24, Lovren was nonetheless a far from proven footballer when he moved to Southampton for an £8.5 million move last summer. The centre-back has performed admirably in Mauricio Pochettino’s progressive system, comfortable at the heart of a high defensive line that has the potential to leave him exposed, and – often operating under pressure – succeeding in the majority of his headers, passes and tackles so far this season.
Manager – Niko Kovac
Only recently having taken over from Igor Stimac, after his predecessor failed to qualify for the World Cup automatically, Kovac is a newcomer to senior-level management, his only previous coaching experience being with the under-21 side. Despite his inexperience, Kovac guided his nation to a comfortable qualification in a play-off draw (against Iceland) that could well have proven tough had it not been for the Croats’ tactical discipline in the first leg and ruthlessness in the second.
A veteran of the playing scene, Kovac will be expected to provide the high standard of football that the Croatian public have been spoiled with in recent years; whether he can deliver is a question that remains tantalisingly unanswerable as things stand.
Mexico
Once again selected in the same group as the hosts, Mexico may well have been cursing their luck when the balls were drawn. Their qualification campaign was anything other than straightforward and needed to rely on a play-off against New Zealand just to get to the tournament – not something that would normally be expected of a nation who customarily make the finals.
Since winning the 2012 Olympics, the national team has failed thus far to kick on to bigger and better things, and the 2014 World Cup will be the first major chance to reverse that trend. However, whether they can even make it past the group stages in order to do so remains questionable.
Key Player – Javier Hernandez
It is one of English football’s greater injustices that Hernandez seems consigned to a place as second-choice at Manchester United, forever damned by the faint praise that his role of ‘supersub’ brings.
In reality, Hernandez is one of the country’s deadliest forwards – a constant buzzard winging its way around the opposition defence, his continually darting movement a lesson to all young strikers in how to engineer goalscoring chances without having to touch the ball.
For his country, he assumes a rightfully more prominent platform, having received the baton of talisman from Rafael Marquez in recent years. His record of 35 goals in 57 games for far from perfectly functioning Mexico side says plenty about Hernandez’s predatory efficiency.
Best Young Player – Gio dos Santos
The man once touted as the next Ronaldinho will, obviously, never live up to such billing, but he could well grow into being a talismanic figure for his national side if he finally fulfils his clear potential. Having spent spells across the continent since departing Catalunya in 2008, Dos Santos looks to have finally found a home inVillarreal, where his output is at last beginning to align to his actual talent.
Seven goals and three assists in 14 domestic games so far this term is a mighty improvement on his numbers in recent years, and if Dos Santos keeps such form up, he could well thrive within the chasms of space facilitated by the pacey, defence-stretching runs of Javier Hernandez in the summer.
Manager – Miguel Herrera
A veteran of Mexican club football, Herrera was appointed temporary coach of the national side following Victor Manuel Vucetich’s failure to achieve automatic qualification to the summer’s tournament.
Having conquered the challenge of defeating New Zealand, he has been granted a permanent stay, but with only a solitary Mexican league title to his name thus far, many will surely be questioning the pedigree of the 45-year-old in the run-up to Brazil 2014.
Cameroon
Another side who made the tournament through the play-off, Cameroon will surely count qualification from the group as a success of sorts. That said, such patronising assessments may well work in favour of the likes of Stephane Mbia, Jean Makoun,Alex Song and Samuel Eto’o, whose elite-level pedigree will stand them in good stead for an unlikely but very possible fortune-reversing ascent into the last 16.
Key player – Samuel Eto’o
Having come out of retirement once again to help ensure his country’s qualification, Eto’o will surely not recede into the background for the tournament proper. Inevitably, the Cameroonian forward is far from the player he was in his Barcelona pomp since joining the Premier League for an Indian summer this term, but he nonetheless injects the Chelsea frontline with energy and incision when selected, and certainly propagates the demeanour of a natural and grizzled leader.
Best Young Player – Vincent Aboubakar
L’Orient are threatening an unexpected push upon Ligue 1’s Champions League spots this season, and chief among the reasons for their clattering momentum is Aboubakar, a 21-year-old striker who has notched an impressive 10 goals in 18 outings thus far. Offering aerial presence, composed finishing and channel-running application, Aboubakar could well see himself on a few scoresheet in the summer, should he and Eto’o – two strikers used to playing up front alone – find a way to dovetail effectively.
Manager – Volker Finke
A seasoned coach in the upper echelons of the German leagues, Finke took over the Cameroonian side in May and has since guided them to a competitive six-game unbeaten run, during which they have only conceded a solitary goal – and that in a 4-1 win against Tunisia.
It mat not be the biggest sample size to generalize from, but Cameroon’s form under Finke thus far stands them in very decent stead to offer themselves a fine chance of qualifying from a tough, but hardly impossible, World Cup group.
A Combined XI for Group A would go as follows:
Prediction
It’s hard not to look past the hosts to dominate at least the group stage, given the indisputable talent across their squad as well as the crackling excitement that will almost certainly prove infectious from supporters to staff and squad.
Croatia will remain the favourites to progress as runners-up but could well find themselves at an immediate disadvantage should they lose to Brazil in the opening fixture, which would leave them playing catch-up and ensure little margin for error in their following two fixtures.
Mexico’s recent form has not impressed though, and Cameroon lack the high-end, across-the-pitch pedigree that Croatia offer, and – barring the odd aberration – quality tends to shine through in the group stages.
To qualify: Brazil and Croatia.