Three reasons why Charles Oliveira will defeat Justin Gaethje and two reasons why he won't 

Charles Oliveira at UFC 269 against Dustin Poirier
Charles Oliveira at UFC 269 against Dustin Poirier

#2. Justin Gaethje has revamped his focus on wrestling

Despite preferring to stay on his feet while fighting, Justin Gaethje started his career as a wrestler. 'The Highlight' is a two-time Arizona state champion and an NCAA Division I wrestler.

Interestingly, the Arizona-native seems to be focusing on his wrestling of late as part of his preparation to face Charles Oliveira at UFC 274. In the gym, 'The Highlight' was recently seen wrestling with UFC welterweight champion Kamaru Usman.

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Watch Justin Gaethje and Kamaru Usman wrestle here:

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Training with Usman, an elite wrestler himself and the best pound-for-pound fighter in the promotion is a sure sign that Gaethje is leaving no stone unturned. Given his performance in his last title fight against an elite wrestler like Khabib Nurmagomedov, it is the right choice to make.

Gaethje faced 'The Eagle' at UFC 254 for a title unification bout. However, he couldn't prevent Nurmagomedov from taking him down and choking him unconscious in the second round.

With a 73% takedown defense, the American won't be an easy target to take down. It might compel Charles Oliveira to fight from a standing position, where Gaethje arguably enjoys a clear advantage.


#1. Justin Gaethje is a lethal striker

Striking has undoubtedly been Justin Gaethje's best attribute in the UFC, which is something that Charles Oliveira will do well to be wary of. Of the six wins in his UFC career, five have come from knockouts.

Under the tutelage of Trevor Wittman, the former interim champion has become the perfect mix of poise and explosiveness. His strong overhands and hooks, coupled with kicks, make him a difficult opponent.

His last bout against Michael Chandler at UFC 268 was a slugfest and was adjudged the Fight of the Year of 2021. In what was arguably the best fight of his career, he went the distance and won by unanimous decision. According to official stats, 'The Highlight' landed 116 significant strikes on target as compared to Chandler's 103.

Although Charles Oliveira has worked on his durability and striking, trying to close the distance against someone with such explosive strength will be difficult.

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Edited by Phil Dillon
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