NASCAR insider picks former champion as favorite to win 2025 Xfinity race at Homestead-Miami

The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series season heads to the Homestead-Miami Speedway for the season’s sixth race, the Hard Rock Bet 300. Ahead of the race, NASCAR insider Bob Pockrass shared his prediction, picking his favorite to win and top-five finishes at the 2025 Xfinity Series Hard Rock Bet 300.

Pockrass picked 2021 NASCAR Cup Series champion Kyle Larson to take the checkered flag at Homestead-Miami on Saturday, March 22. He is making his first start of the season in the Xfinity Series and coming off with a win in Friday’s truck event at Miami. He is on a quest to secure a sweep of three NASCAR races on the same weekend at the same track.

Pockrass’ remaining top five predictions are the Daytona winner, Jesse Love; the defending winner of the event, Austin Hill; Sam Mayer; and last week’s winner, Corey Heim.

Pockrass wrote on X:

“My Xfinity pick for Homestead: Kyle Larson. ... top-5: Larson Love AHill Mayer Heim ET 10:30-CW App-Xfi p&q 1:05-Prime-Cup p&q 3:30-CW-NASCAR Countdown 4:10-CW-Xfi green 45-45-110, 5 sets, fuel 60-65”

Kyle Larson has a good track record in the series at Miami racetrack. He has scored a win, three top-five, and a top-10 finish in four starts. He also won at this track in the Cup Series in 2022.

Catch Xfinity Series drivers and teams in action at Homestead-Miami Speedway on Sunday at 4 pm ET. Fans can witness the 200-lap Xfinity Series race on CW and MRN.

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Who has higher odds of winning the NASCAR Xfinity Series race at Homestead-Miami?

Kyle Larson is the top favorite to win Hard Rock Bet 300 with +120 odds. The next closest in the odds table to win are the defending winner of the series, Justin Allgaier, and Austin Hill, at +600 and +700 odds, respectively, on Saturday.

1. Kyle Larson: +120
2. Justin Allgaier: +600
3. Austin Hill: +700
4. Sheldon Creed: +700
5. Sam Mayer: +1000
6. Connor Zilisch: +1400
7. Jesse Love: +1400
8. Ryan Sieg: +2000
9. Brandon Jones: +2000
10. Carson Kvapil: +2000
11. Taylor Gray: +2500
12. Sammy Smith: +3000
13. Justin Bonsignore: +4000
14. Christian Eckes: +5000
15. William Sawalich: +5000
16. Corey Heim: +5000
17. Nick Sanchez: +6000
18. Harrison Burton: +10000
19. Josh Williams: +25000
20. Daniel Dye: +25000
21. Dean Thompson: +25000
22. Anthony Alfredo: +25000
23. Kris Wright: +35000
24. Parker Retzlaff: +35000
25. Matt DiBenedetto: +35000
26. Jeb Burton: +35000
27. Kyle Sieg: +35000
28. Jeremy Clements: +50000
29. Myatt Snider: +50000
30. Brennan Poole: +100000
31. Garrett Smithley: +100000
32. Mason Maggio: +100000
33. Blaine Perkins: +100000
34. Ryan Ellis: +100000
35. Leland Honeyman: +100000
36. Dawson Cram: +100000
37. Brad Perez: +100000
38. Mason Massey: +100000
39. Alex Labbe: +100000
40. Patrick Emerling: +100000