Auburn vs. Memphis Prediction, Odds, Line, Pick, and Preview: December 10 | 2022-23 NCAAB Season

The (#11) Auburn Tigers (8-0) and Memphis Tigers (7-2) will clash in the Holiday Hoopsgiving in Atlanta, Georgia, on Saturday. Auburn have crushed some decent teams this season but barely escaped Cancun with a 43-42 win over Northwestern and survived a scare at home against a feisty St. Louis squad. However, they are still at full steam, gearing up towards a fourth March Madness tournament in the last five seasons (excluding the Covid period). Wendall Green Jr. and K.D. Johnson, both significant contributors to the previous season's 28-6 team, anchor the Tigers' offense. Green averages a team-best 13.4 points per game, while Johnson can also boast of being in the double-digits. Plenty of last year's talent have returned, with the likes of starting combo guard Allen Flanigan and now senior Jaylin Williams. Morehead State transfer Johni Broome is a crucial addition to the squad. The two-time All-OVC forward is averaging 10.9 points and 8.7 rebounds per game in the season.

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Auburn vs. Memphis Betting Odds

Team	Spread	Over/Under	Moneyline
Auburn Tigers	-2	0137.5	-125
Memphis Tigers	+2	u137.5	+110

All Lines Provided by Caesars Sportsbook

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Memphis are riding a five-game winning streak after falling victim to a buzzer-beater against Seton Hall on a neutral court in the ESPN Invitational. They most recently squashed a lowly Little Rock squad 87-71, with third-year starter DeAndre Williams leading the way with 17 points and five assists. However, leading scorer Kendric Davis, a transfer from SMU, had a rare off night, scoring eight points on an abysmal 3-of-15 from the field. Fifth-year senior Alex Lomax and UTEP transfer Keonte Kennedy also scored in double-figures.

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ShotQuality Tale of the Tape

We will highlight essential ShotQuality data for this matchup, including Adjusted Offensive and Defensive SQ, strengths, weaknesses, and frequency. SQppp is a player's average ShotQuality points per possession.

Thus, SQppp = Total SQpoints/Total No. of Possessions

Auburn

Offensive Key Stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)

AdjOFF SQ = 1.15 (8th)

Shot Selection = 98th Percentile (8th)

Rim and 3 Rate = 91.7% (53rd)

Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.10 (55th)

Free Throw Rate (FTR) = 36.6% (64th)

Open 3 Rate = 14.8% (291st)

Shot Making = 6th Percentile (342nd)

Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Finishing at the Rim = 1.25 (13th)

P&R Ball Screen = 1.05 (36th)

Cut = 1.22 (72nd)

Off-Screen = 1.04 (86th)

Transition = 1.38 (95th)

Midrange = 0.79 (149th)

Off the Dribble 3PT = 0.93 (311th)

Catch & Shoot 3PT = 0.97 (333rd)

Post-Up = 0.75 (348th)

Defensive key stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)

AdjDEF SQ = 0.96 (88th)

Shot Making = 4th Percentile (16th)

Rim and 3 Rate = 87.8% (201st)

Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Post-Up = 0.72 (8th)

Cut = 0.97 (13th)

Isolation = 0.87 (97th)

Midrange = 0.75 (112th)

Finishing at the Rim = 1.09 (117th)

P&R Ball Screen = 0.96 (147th)

Transition = 1.33 (204th)

Off-Screen = 1.02 (245th)

* = outside top 175 but added for matchup sake.

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Memphis

Offensive Key Stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)

AdjOFF SQ = 1.08 (50th)

Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.01 (61st)

Shot Selection = 71st Percentile (88th)

Spacing = 11th Percentile (323rd)

Open 3 Rate = 9.2% (344th)

Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Transition = 1.44 (55th)

Finishing at the Rim = 1.19 (66th)

Cut = 1.20 (88th)

Isolation = 0.92 (162nd)

Defensive key stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)

AdjDEF SQ = 0.96 (82nd)

Open 3 Rate = 4.8% (7th)

Shot Making = 9th Percentile (33rd)

Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.03 (78th)

Rim and 3 Rate = 90.5% (319th)

Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

P&R Ball Screen = 0.90 (16th)

Catch & Shoot 3PT = 1.01 (74th)*

Off the Dribble 3PT = 0.96 (95th)

Isolation = 0.90 (145th)

Transition = 1.33 (206th)

Off-Screen = 1.02 (240th)

* = outside top 175 but added for matchup sake.

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Auburn vs. Memphis Prediction

Not only are Auburn due for a trip up, but Memphis are eyeing a big win over a top program in the season. They have already beaten VCU, Stanford, and Ole Miss, but a win over Auburn would strengthen Memphis' resume come March. Memphis also match up exceptionally well on both offense and defense.

Prediction: Memphis +2 (-110)

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