Boise State vs. Texas A&M Prediction, Odds, Line, Pick, and Preview: December 3 | 2022-23 NCAAB Season

The Boise State Broncos (5-2) and Texas A&M Aggies (5-2) will square off in Fort Worth, Texas, on Saturday. Fort Worth is about a three-hour drive from College Station, the home of the Aggies. Boise State will ride a four-game winning streak into this weekend's matchup. They will look to put in a bounce-back offensive performance after a 55-46 win over CS Northridge on Tuesday. Leading scorer and sixth-year senior Marcus Shaver scored 19 points and added five rebounds and four steals for the Broncos. Last season's Mountain West ROY, Tyson Degenhart, added 11 points on 5-12 shooting. As a team, Boise only shot 36% from the field and 66% from the charity stripe. Chibuzo Agbo, a transfer from Texas Tech and a former top prospect, continued his struggles, going 1-for-6 from the field in 27 minutes. He is now shooting 37% on the season.

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Boise State vs. Texas A&M Betting Odds

Team	Spread	Over/Under	Moneyline
Boise State Broncos	+5.5	0132.5	+176
Texas A&M Aggies	-5.5	u132.5	-215

All Lines Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook

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Texas A&M is also riding a mini-winning streak, winning three straight by an average of 17 points. The Aggies dominated a solid SMU squad 83-64 on Wednesday. They used an offensive explosion to shoot 49% from the field in the game. Former Duke Blue Devil and big man Henry Coleman dropped 23 points in the blowout. Leading scorer Wade Taylor and Michigan State transfer Julius Marble joined Coleman in double-figure scoring.

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ShotQuality Tale of the Tape

Below, we will highlight essential ShotQuality data for this matchup, including Adjusted Offensive and Defensive SQ, strengths, weaknesses, and frequency. SQppp is a player's average ShotQuality points per possession.

Thus, SQppp = Total SQpoints/Total No. of Possessions

Boise State

Offensive Key Stats

AdjOFF SQ = 1.05 (91st)

Rim and 3 Rate = 88.7% (138th)

Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.07 (143rd)

Shot Selection = 55th Percentile (145th)

Shot Making = 55th Percentile (147th)

Free Throw Rate = 28.7% (234th)

Spacing = 12th Percentile (319th)

Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Transition = 1.39 (95th)

Post-Up = 0.91 (84th)

Off the Dribble 3PT = 0.98 (195th)

Defensive key stats

AdjDEF SQ = 0.96 (76th)

Spacing = 7th Percentile (27th)

Shot Selection = 27th Percentile (108th)

Open 3 Rate = 17.8% (141st)

FTR = 31.1% (186th)

Shot Making = 50th (190th)

Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Off the Dribble 3PT = 0.94 (45th)

Half Court = 0.99 (204th)

Finishing at the Rim = 1.13 (208th)

Post-Up = 0.88 (215th)

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Texas A&M

Offensive Key Stats

AdjOFF SQ = 1.12 (17th)

FTR = 46.9% (10th)

Shot Selection = 97th Percentile (17th)

Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.09 (91st)

Shot Making = 25th Percentile (266th)

Spacing = 22nd (278th)

Open 3 Rate = 13.2% (294th)

Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Cut = 1.28 (30th)

Finishing at the Rim = 1.22 (33rd)

Post-Up = 0.94 (58th)

Transition = 1.39 (97th)

Isolation = 0.90 (202nd)

Off-Screen = 0.94 (287th)

Defensive key stats

AdjDEF SQ = 0.96 (71st)

Shot Making = 16th Percentile (63rd)

Open 3 Rate = 13.0% (69th)

Spacing = 34th (135th)

Shot Selection = 72nd (277th)

FTR = 48.0% (352nd)

Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Transition = 1.19 (45th)

Isolation = 0.86 (80th)

Post-Up = 0.88 (209th)

Off the Dribble 3PT = 0.99 (216th)

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Boise State vs. Texas A&M Prediction

Texas A&M has been blowing opponents out as of late, but Boise State will present a new defensive challenge for the Aggies. Boise slows down the pace of play and has solid ShotQuality defensive numbers. Expect them to keep it close in a low-scoring affair.

Prediction: Boise State +5.5 (-115)

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