The Clemson Tigers (7-2) will host the Towson Tigers (8-1) in a battle of Tiger mascots on Wednesday night.
Clemson has won three straight, all over Power 6 teams, most recently triumphing over the Wake Forest Demon Deacons 77-57 in their ACC opener. After trailing 33-26 at the break, Clemson erupted for 51 second-half points, led by PJ Hall with 21 points and eight rebounds. Last season's leading scorer, Hall, has worked his way back from injury and is on a roll over his previous three games.
All five Clemson starters reached double-figure scoring, with only four of their 77 points coming from off the bench. Leading scorer Chase Hunter had 11, while three-year starter Hunter Tyson dropped a double-double.
Clemson vs. Towson Betting Odds
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Towson has also won three straight, concluding with a 74-64 win over 1-7 LIU. The Tigers have high aspirations this season after winning the CAA last year and returning their top four-minute getters this year. The trio of Cameron Holden, Nicolas Timberlake, and Charles Thompson carry the workload for the Tigers.
Timberlake, a 2021-22 All-CAA honoree, sits in double-digit scoring for the third season in a row, while two-time CAA All-Defensive member Charles Thompson is averaging 10.8 points and 6.7 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Holden has been electric, increasing his astounding numbers from last year to 15.8 points and a team-high 4.7 assists per game.
ShotQuality Tale of the Tape
Below, we will highlight essential ShotQuality data for this matchup, including Adjusted Offensive and Defensive SQ, strengths, weaknesses, and frequency. SQppp is a player's average ShotQuality points per possession.
Thus, SQppp = Total SQpoints/Total No. of Possessions
Towson
Offensive Key Stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)
AdjOFF SQ = 1.06 (61st)
Open 3 Rate = 40.3% (41st)
Shot Selection = 81st Percentile (60th)
Free Throw Rate (FTR) = 36.8% (63rd)
Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.10 (73rd)
Rim and 3 Rate = 88.4% (209th)
Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)
Post-Up = 1.01 (3rd)
Catch & Shoot 3PT = 1.07 (44th)*
Half Court = 1.01 (80th)
Cut = 1.16 (119th)
Off-Screen = 1.02 (125th)
Finishing at the Rim = 1.14 (141st)
Defensive key stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)
AdjDEF SQ = 1.04 (253rd)
Shot Making = 17th Percentile (67th)
FTR = 26.1% (82nd)
Rim and 3 Rate = 88.1% (223rd)
Open 3 Rate = 41.6% (319)
Spacing = 93rd Percentile (341st)
Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)
Catch & Shoot 3PT = 0.99 (12th)*
Off-Screen = 0.91 (25th)*
P&R Ball Screen = 0.93 (53rd)*
Half Court = 0.99 (213rd)
Cut = 1.16 (240th)
* = outside top 175 but added for matchup sake.
Clemson
Offensive Key Stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)
AdjOFF SQ = 1.02 (137th)
Shot Making = 90th Percentile (31st)
Spacing = 79th Percentile (64th)
Rim and 3 Rate = 90.5% (85th)
FTR = 34.8% (99th)
Open 3 Rate = 18.9% (237th)
Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)
Midrange = 0.91 (7th)
Off-Screen = 1.10 (33rd)
Catch & Shoot 3PT = 1.06 (62nd)
Cut = 1.25 (51st)
P&R Ball Screen = 1.01 (111th)
Half Court = 1.00 (120th)
Post-Up = 0.87 (194th)
Defensive key stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)
AdjDEF SQ = 0.94 (38th)
Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.00 (16th)
Shot Selection = 12th Percentile (47th)
Open 3 Rate = 13% (59th)
Shot Making = 52nd Percentile (207th)
FTR = 33.3% (234th)
Spacing = 62nd Percentile (245th)
Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)
Half Court = 0.93 (28th)
Finishing at the Rim = 1.04 (44th)*
Off-Screen = 0.93 (55th)
Isolation = 0.86 (81st)
Cut = 1.07 (120th)
Post-Up = 0.86 (148th)
Catch & Shoot 3PT = 1.04 (257th)
* = outside top 175 but added for matchup sake.
Clemson vs. Towson Prediction
Both these teams ooze veteran leadership, yet Clemson gets the edge on pedigree. However, Towson is no joke and should be on a mission after winning the CAA last season but blowing their March Madness chances with a loss in the conference tournament.
Their fourth-best player, Jason Gibson, may remain out, but I will back the Tigers. The Towson Tigers, that is.
Prediction: Towson +7 (-110)
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