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The North Carolina Tar Heels will have an opportunity to extend their two-game winning streak in the NCAA when they face the Duke Blue Devils on Saturday (October 15) night.
Last week, North Carolina surprised Miami (FL) 27-24 despite being a 4-point underdog. As a 3.5-point favorite, Duke lost to Georgia Tech and will look to avenge that loss.
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As both of Duke's losses this season have been by one possession, the squad has played differently at home. At home, the Blue Devils are 3-0 and have won all three contests by at least 19 points. Despite losing in overtime to Georgia Tech the previous week, they had scored two touchdowns in the final six minutes to force overtime.
The Tar Heels, meanwhile, have also been dominant, winning ten of their previous 13 away games at Duke. With nearly four percentage points more completions than Leonard, quarterback Drake Maye is ranked second in the ACC. Over the past couple weeks, North Carolina's defense has improved, holding Miami to 42 running yards and Virginia Tech to ten points.
With only one loss this year, against Notre Dame, North Carolina has fared well. Following that defeat, the Tar Heels bounced back with victories over Virginia Tech by 31 points and Miami by 27-24 (FL). Since beating the Hurricanes, they have won four of their previous five conference games while being 4-point underdogs.
Tar Heels vs Blue Devils Betting Odds
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Tar Heels vs Blue Devils Match Details
Fixture: North Carolina at Duke
Date and Time: Saturday, October 15; 8:00 pm ET
Venue: Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC
Tar Heels vs Blue Devils Head-to-Head
The Tar Heels lead the all-time series 63-40. The Tar Heels are 3-2 in their last five games against the Blue Devils. North Carolina is on a three-game winning streak against Duke in the regular season, with their latest victory coming in 2021, where they beat the Blue Devils 38-7.
Tar Heels vs Blue Devils Key Stats
Team Stats: Tar Heels
points per game: 42.3, points allowed per game: 32, total yards: 501, yards passing: 317.8, yards rushing: 183.2, yards allowed: 465.3, pass yards allowed: 297.5, rush yards allowed: 167.8
Team Stats: Blue Devils
points per game: 32.5, points allowed per game: 19.7, total yards: 416.5, yards passing: 225.8, yards rushing: 190.7, yards allowed: 397.8, pass yards allowed: 240.7, rush yards allowed: 139.2
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Tar Heels vs Blue Devils Best Picks and Prediction
Duke doesn't have much of a home-field advantage, with fans focused on Jon Scheyer's performance at Cameron Indoor Stadium in a few weeks. It's good that North Carolina has had a run defense. As Georgia Tech isn't second to come on defense, Leonard struggled last week against them.
Given the quarterback competition and UNC's improved defense, the Tar Heels have the talent edge. They should replicate their season-opening 31-point thrashing of the Blue Devils on Saturday night.
Pick: Under 67.5 (-110)
Prediction: North Carolina -7 (-110)
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