Providence vs. Miami Prediction, Odds, Line, Pick, and Preview: November 19 | 2022-23 NCAAB Season

The Providence Friars (3-0) and the Miami Hurricanes (3-0) will square off in the Basketball Hall of Fame Tip Off Classic at Mohegan Sun in Connecticut on Saturday.

Providence survived a scare against Rider in their season opener before making quick work of their other two mid-major opponents, Northeastern and Stonehill, to remain unbeaten. The Friars look to build off a stellar 2021-22 season when they won the Big East regular season title for the first time in program history.

Coach Ed Cooley replenished his war chest via the transfer portal, with many senior leaders from last season's team moving on. Bryce Hopkins, a Kentucky transfer stuck behind Oscar Tshiebwe the previous year, leads the team with 14.7 points and 8.3 rebounds per game.

Four other Friars sit in double figures: Clifton Moore from La Salle, Noah Locke from Louisville, Devin Carter from South Carolina, and Ed Croswell and Jared Bynum from last season's squad.

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Providence vs. Miami (FL) Betting Odds

Team	Spread	Over/Under	Moneyline
Providence Friars	+3	0141.5	+125
Miami (FL) Hurricanes	-3	u141.5	-145

All Lines Provided by Caesars Sportsbook

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Miami is in a similar boat as Providence. After a widely successful 2021-22 season that saw the Hurricanes make the Elite Eight, Coach Jim Larranaga has had to work around replacing stars from seasons past.

Isaiah Wong and Jordan Miller, two critical pieces to the previous season's success, sit in double-digit scoring. At the same time, sophomores Wooga Poplar and Bensley Joseph have made huge strides during their second year at Miami.

The Hurricanes also added Nijel Pack and Norchad Omier to the mix. The two transfers scored over 17 points per game for Kansas State and Arkansas State last season, respectively.

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ShotQuality Tale of the Tape

ShotQuality data suggests a back-and-forth battle in this Big East-ACC neutral court matchup. Offensively, the Friars posted a 1.09 adjOFF SQ number last season, good for 28th in the country.

They excelled in shot selection (88th percentile) and free throw rate (37.8%) while being efficient in rim & three rate and its SQ PPP equivalent. The Hurricanes' defense did an outstanding job in limiting free throws and open threes but struggled with rim & three rate and spacing. The Friars flourished with off-screen shots (1.02 SQ PPP) and in the midrange (0.84 SQ PPP) while, in contrast, the U struggled in those departments defensively.

The offense was the name of the game for Miami last year, ranking in the top 30 percentile in shot selection and spacing. Providence wasn't necessarily good with those key defensive stat metrics, but they weren't awful, either.

The Hurricanes were fond of the transition offense, backed by a 12% frequency and an excellent 1.33 SQ PPP in that shot type. The Friars ranked 212th in the country last season in defending the transition.

The Friars' worst defensive shot type by SQ PPP standards was shots off the cut, which the Canes were great with last year.

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Providence vs. Miami (FL) Prediction

The Friars should have some resemblance of a home court advantage given that the venue is light years closer to Rhode Island than Miami. Providence also matches up well against a Hurricanes team that struggled in the low post last season.

I love the high-end transfers Cooley brought in, and they have meshed well to start the year. I'll take the points in what should be a close game that will be decided in the final minutes.

Prediction: Providence +3 (-120)

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