Seattle vs. Oregon State Prediction, Odds, Line, Pick, and Preview: December 15 | 2022-23 NCAAB Season

The Oregon State Beavers (4-5) will host the Seattle Redhawks (7-1) on Thursday night. Seattle has won two straight after their only loss at Washington in late November. Seattle most recently rallied past North Dakota 80-78 in overtime. Down 17 at the break, the Redhawks exploded for 51 points in the second half, nearly tripling their production from the first 20 minutes of play. Cameron Tyson, the team's leading scorer and an all-conference member last season, dropped 24 points on 8-of-19 in the win. Fifth-year senior and 2020 All-WAC honoree Riley Grigsby finished with 13 points, three rebounds, and a team-high four assists.

2022 is Grigsby's fourth straight season averaging double-digit scoring. Former Washington State big man Brandton Chatfield added 10 points and five rebounds in 18 minutes off the bench.

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Seattle vs. Oregon State Betting Odds

Team	Spread	Over/Under	Moneyline
Seattle Redhawks	-1.5	0136.5	-125
Oregon State Beavers	+1.5	u136.5	+105

All Lines Provided by Caesars Sportsbook

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Oregon State has lost two straight and six of their last seven. They played Washington and USC wire-to-wire before a second-half collapse led to a 72-54 defeat to Texas A&M last Saturday. The Beavers led at the half but were outscored 46-24 in the final 20 minutes.

Freshman Jordan Pope had a team-high 15 points and remains the team's leading scorer with 14.3 points per game. San Francisco transfer Dzmitry Ryuny was the only other Beaver to score in double-figures.

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ShotQuality Tale of the Tape

Below, we will highlight essential ShotQuality data for this matchup, including Adjusted Offensive and Defensive SQ, strengths, weaknesses, and frequency. SQppp is a player's average ShotQuality points per possession.

Thus, SQppp = Total SQpoints/Total No. of Possessions

Seattle

Offensive Key Stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)

AdjOFF SQ = 1.08 (80th)

Open 3 Rate = 22.2% (210th)

Shot Selection = 32nd Percentile (236th)

Spacing = 26th Percentile (262nd)

Shot Selection = 32nd Percentile (236th)

Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.03 (270th)

Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Off-Screen = 1.03 (104th)

P&R Ball Screen = 0.99 (135th)

Isolation = 0.93 (135th)

Off the Dribble 3PT = 1.01 (151st)

Catch & Shoot 3PT = 1.01 (237th)

Cut = 1.07 (238th)

Half Court = 0.97 (227th)

Defensive key stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)

AdjDEF SQ = 1.04 (243rd)

Spacing = 6th Percentile (24th)

Shot Making = 60th Percentile (238th)

Shot Selection = 64th Percentile (254th)

Rim and 3 Rate = 90.4% (324th)

Free Throw Rate (FTR) = 42.7% (330th)

Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Cut = 1.10 (157th)

Half Court = 0.98 (168th)

Finishing at the Rim = 1.12 (183rd)

P&R Ball Screen = 0.98 (198th)

Off the Dribble 3PT = 1.00 (219th)*

Isolation = 0.96 (286th)

Transition = 1.58 (356th)*

* = outside top 175 but added for matchup sake.

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Oregon State

Offensive Key Stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)

AdjOFF SQ = 0.99 (222nd)

FTR = 38.9% (37th)

Shot Making = 69th Percentile (95th)

Open 3 Rate = 18.4% (258th)

Rim and 3 Rate = 83.4% (281st)

Spacing = 11th Percentile (320th)

Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Transition = 1.32 (165th)

Isolation = 0.91 (175th)

Off the Dribble 3PT = 1.03 (177th)

Defensive key stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)

AdjDEF SQ = 1.03 (196th)

Open 3 Rate = 16.7& (90th)

FTR = 33.6% (241st)

Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Catch & Shoot 3PT = 1.00 (28th)*

Half Court = 0.97 (134th)

Cut = 1.08 (138th)*

P&R Ball Screen = 0.99 (222nd)

Isolation = 0.94 (230th)

Off the Dribble 3PT = 1.02 (266th)*

* = outside top 175 but added for matchup sake.

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Seattle vs. Oregon State Prediction

The offenses have the edge as per the ShotQuality data. Oregon State wants to get out and run in transition, while Seattle has been horrid in that department all season. Meanwhile, The Redhawks use a ton of screens and off-the-dribble threes in the halfcourt, a shot type the Beavers have had problems with all year. So expect points to come easy tonight in this Pac-12-WAC matchup.

Prediction: Over 136.5 (-110)

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