SMU vs. Tulsa Prediction, Odds, Line, Spread, and Picks - January 18 | 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Season

The SMU Mustangs (6-12) will take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-12) in Oklahoma on Wednesday.

SMU has lost four straight games, while Tulsa has dropped six in a row. The Mustangs came close to victory last Saturday, falling to Cincinnati 54-52. They beat Tulsa in their previous matchup 92-67. The Golden Hurricane last won over Mississippi Valley State 66-51 in mid-December. Their only quality win of the season was over Loyola Chicago 85-66, but even they are 6-11.

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SMU vs. Tulsa Betting Odds

Team	Spread	Total	Money Line
SMU Mustangs	-3	o146.5	-165
Tulsa Golden Hurricane	+3	u146.5	+140

Odds are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook

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SMU vs. Tulsa Match Details

Fixture: SMU Mustangs at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Date and Time: Wednesday, January 18, 2023, at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Donald W. Reynolds Center

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ShotQuality Tale of the Tape

Below, we will highlight essential ShotQuality data for this matchup, including Adjusted Offensive and Defensive SQ, strengths, weaknesses, and frequency. SQppp is a player's average ShotQuality points per possession.

Thus, SQppp = Total SQpoints/Total No. of Possessions.

The Mustangs own a 1.05 AdjOFF SQ this season, good for 106th in the nation. Tulsa has the 146th-best AdjDEF SQ at 1.00. The Mustangs do poorly in all key stats but rim & three SQ PPP, where they are 141st in the country. Conversely, the Golden Hurricane are 23rd in the nation in defensive rim & three SQ PPP.

The Mustangs own high-frequency numbers in isolation, midrange, off-screen, P&R ball screen, post-up, and transition shot types. However, they are outside the top 200 in all those shot types except midrange, with a 0.77 SQ PPP (148th in the country), and transition, with a 1.37 SQ PPP (80th). Conversely, the Golden Hurricane of Tulsa is in the top 120 in defending all those categories except midrange, with a 0.77 SQ PPP (217th in the country).

The Golden Hurricane has a 0.97 AdjOFF SQ, the 257th-best mark in the country. The Mustangs have posted a 0.99 AdjDEF SQ this season, clocking in at 114th in the country. The Golden Hurricane is in the top 175 in spacing and shot-making. However, the Mustangs are in the 37th percentile or better in defensive spacing and shot-making.

Tulsa is in the country's top half in frequency regarding the following shot types: cut, isolation, off-the-dribble three-pointers, and P&R ball screen. The Mustangs are in the top 140 in defending all those shot types, excelling in defending the perimeter.

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SMU vs. Tulsa Prediction

The Mustangs have had a rough go of it as of late, but the same can be said about their opponent on Wednesday night. Tulsa's four wins this season have come against teams that are a combined 19-54. So don't expect them to get their first win in a month, even if they are at home as short underdogs.

Prediction: SMU -3 (-110)

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