UL Lafayette vs. McNeese State Prediction, Odds, Line, Pick, and Preview: December 15 | 2022-23 NCAAB Season

The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (9-1) will visit the McNeese State Cowboys (3-7) on Thursday night. Louisiana has won four straight since losing their only game of the season to Drake in late November. 2021-22 All-Sun Belt honoree Jordan Brown leads the Rajin' Cajuns in scoring for the second straight season as the former Arizona Wildcat averages 19.6 points per game. His frontcourt mate, Jackson State transfer Terence Lewis II, is averaging 13.6 points and 9.4 rebounds per game. Fifth-year senior and former St. John's guard Greg Williams is also in double-digit scoring at 13.5 points per contest. Rounding out the key contributors are Themus Fulks, the team leader in assists and a MEAC All-Freshman at S.C. State last season, and Kentrell Garnett, a junior who leads the team in three-pointers made on the year.

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UL Lafayette vs. McNeese State Betting Odds

Team	Spread	Over/Under	Moneyline
UL Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns	-12.5	0138.5	+1050
McNeese State Cowboys	+12.5	u138.5	+660

All Lines Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook

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McNeese has lost four of their last five and are fresh off a bludging at the hands of Iowa State 77-40. No Cowboys scored in double-figures, with leading scorer Trae English and fifth-year senior Zach Scott leading the way with eight points apiece. McNeese only took 38 shots in the game, turning in over 28 times and going 5-of-11 from the charity stripe. 2021-22 All-Southland guard Christian Shumate turned the ball over eight times while only having one assist in the loss.

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ShotQuality Tale of the Tape

Below, we will highlight essential ShotQuality data for this matchup, including Adjusted Offensive and Defensive SQ, strengths, weaknesses, and frequency. SQppp is a player's average ShotQuality points per possession.

Thus, SQppp = Total SQpoints/Total No. of Possessions

UL Lafayette

Offensive Key Stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)

AdjOFF SQ = 1.01 (183rd)

Shot Making = 75th Percentile (77th)

Spacing = 31st Percentile (240th)

Open 3 Rate = 18.0% (265th)

Rim and 3 Rate = 82.2% (309th)

Shot Selection = 14th Percentile (310th)

Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

N/A

Defensive key stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)

AdjDEF SQ = 0.99 (139th)

Rim and 3 Rate = 83.1% (31st)

Spacing = 17th Percentile (65th)

Open 3 Rate = 15% (65th)

Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.07 (211th)

Shot Making = 75th Percentile (286th)

Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

N/A

* = outside top 175 but added for matchup sake.

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McNeese State

Offensive Key Stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)

AdjOFF SQ = 0.89 (356th)

Rim and 3 Rate = 87.1% (201st)

Free Throw Rate (FTR) = 28.1% (243rd)

Spacing = 29th Percentile (249th)

Shot Selection = 14th Percentile (311th)

Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 0.99 (349th)

Shot Making = 4th Percentile (350th)

Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Isolation = 0.88 (250th)

Off the Dribble 3PT = 0.96 (279th)

Half Court = 0.93 (327th)

Defensive key stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)

AdjDEF SQ = 1.07 (284th)

Shot Making = 19th Percentile (73rd)

Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.08 (251st)

Open 3 Rate = 31.5% (264th)

FTR = 37% (290th)

Spacing = 77th Percentile (292nd)

Shot Selection = 91st Percentile (335th)

Rim and 3 Rate = 92.2% (354th)

Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Cut = 1.19 (284th)

Half Court = 1.02 (300th)

Catch & Shoot 3PT = 1.05 (314th)

* = outside top 175 but added for matchup sake.

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UL Lafayette vs. McNeese State Prediction

Per KenPom, Louisiana and McNeese have a better-adjusted efficiency on offense than defense. Both teams need to play faster of a pace, and Louisiana isn't short of weapons on offense either. With such a low total and the Rajin Cajuns having a weak defense, points should be relatively easy to come by in this matchup.

Prediction: Over 138.5 (-110)

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