Statistical model predicts India's Tokyo Olympics medal tally, nation projected to finish in top 20 for the first time since independence

The Tokyo Olympics could mark a watershed moment in India's Olympic history, as per a report by Gracenote. India has been predicted to finish among the top 20 medal-winning nations, something that hasn't happened since its independence, .

Gracenote has used a statistical model based on individual and team results in previous editions of the Olympics, World Championships, and World Cups to forecast the most likely gold, silver, and bronze medal winners by country.

As per the model, India will win 4 gold, 5 silver, and 8 bronze for a total of 17 medals at the Tokyo Olympics.

That's 60% of the total medals (28) won by India in all previous editions of the Olympics combined so far.

#Gracenote modal predicts 17 Medal and 19th place finish for India at #Tokyo2020 🤷🤷 pic.twitter.com/Ww1xdlAqF2

— Indian Olympic Dream (@olympic_indian) April 14, 2021

Prior to India's independence in 1947, the country had finished 17th at the 1900 Paris Games (2 silver), 19th at the 1932 Los Angeles Games (1 gold), and 20th at the 1936 Berlin Games (1 gold).

India's best standing in recent history has been 23rd place at the 1980 Moscow Games (1 gold).

At the 2012 London Olympics, India finished 55th (2 Silver, 4 Bronze), while they finished 67th at the Rio Olympics (1 silver, 1 bronze).

The haul of six medals at the 2012 London Games has been India's biggest at a single Olympic Games.

The United States projected to win 114 medals at the Tokyo Olympics

Flag-bearer Michael Phelps of the United States leads the team entering the stadium during the Opening Ceremony of the Rio 2016 Olympic Games in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Not surprisingly, the United States has been projected to top the medal tally at the Tokyo Olympics. The United States are expected to win 114 medals - seven fewer than the total won by the Americans at the 2016 Games.

📈 - 1⃣0⃣0⃣ days to go before #Tokyo2020 so we have released our latest #VirtualMedalTable.The 🇺🇸United States head the projected medal table, ahead of 🇨🇳China and the Russian Olympic Committee with 🇯🇵Japan 4th.Find out more here:https://t.co/Hp5STQgovq pic.twitter.com/9Ut0uRmUVO

— Gracenote Olympic (@GracenoteGold) April 14, 2021

China, the Russian Olympic Committee, hosts Japan and the Netherlands are projected to round out the Top 5 medal-winning nations at the Tokyo Olympics.

France, Australia, Great Britain, Germany, and Italy are also projected to be among the top 10 medal winners at the upcoming Games.