Match Details
Fixture: Brandon Nakashima vs David Goffin
Date: February 27, 2025
Tournament: Mexican Open 2025
Round: Quarterfinal
Venue: Arena GNP Seguros, Acapulco, Mexico
Category: ATP 500
Surface: Hard
Prize Money: $2,763,440
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN+
Brandon Nakashima vs David Goffin preview
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Brandon Nakashima will face David Goffin in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Mexican Open on Thursday, February 27. The winner will face either Learner Tien or Tomas Machac in the semifinals.
Nakashima's 2025 season commenced at the Hong Kong Open, where he suffered a first-round defeat to Lorenzo Sonego. At the Australian Open, the American lost to eventual semifinalist Ben Shelton in the opener. Following a series of underwhelming results, Nakashima bounced back at the Delray Beach Open, where he registered a couple of impressive wins to reach the quarterfinals.
In Acapulco, Nakashima defeated Benjamin Bonzi 7-6(6), 7-5 in the first round. He was clinical with his serves and remained composed during pressure points to overcome the Frenchman. In the second round, Nakashima played against Holger Rune, who retired with food poisoning at 0-3 in the opening set.
Meanwhile, Goffin had a horrible start to the new season, suffering five back-to-back first-round defeats. He claimed just a single set in his first five matches of the year. At the Melbourne Major, the Belgian lost to Bonzi, 1-6, 2-6, 6-7(7) in the first round.
Goffin registered his first win of the season at the Mexican Open. He defeated Rinky Hijikata, 6-2, 6-3, in the first round. The Belgian pulled off a surprise win over Shelton, 7-6(3), 6-3 to reach the quarterfinals. His ball-striking and court coverage were on point, as he got the better of the fifth seed in one hour and 45 minutes.
Brandon Nakashima vs David Goffin head-to-head
Nakashima leads the head-to-head 1-0. The American won their only meeting at the 2022 Swiss Indoors, defeating Goffin 2-6, 7-6, 6-4 in the first round.
Brandon Nakashima vs David Goffin odds
(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)
Brandon Nakashima vs David Goffin prediction
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Both Nakashima and Goffin have not had the best starts to the new season. However, both have been regaining their form in recent matches. Nakashima could be deadly with his serves, while Goffin could present challenges with his excellent court coverage.
Goffin's win over Shelton will boost his confidence ahead of Thursday's fixture. Meanwhile, Nakashima has a better win-loss record in 2025 and holds a slight edge over the Belgian in the head-to-head.
There is no clear winner in this quarterfinal clash. However, given Nakashima's overall superior play, including his strong serve, backhand, and court sense, he is expected to prevail in this fixture.
Pick: Nakashima to win in three sets.