Acapulco 2025: Denis Shapovalov vs Nishesh Basavareddy preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick | Mexican Open

Rohit
Denis Shapovalov vs Nishesh Basavareddy is one of the first-round matches at the Mexican Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)
Denis Shapovalov vs Nishesh Basavareddy is one of the first-round matches at the Mexican Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)

Match Details

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Fixture: (9) Denis Shapovalov vs (Q) Nishesh Basavareddy

Date: February 25, 2025

Tournament: Mexican Open 2025

Round: First Round (Round of 32)

Venue: Arena GNP Seguros, Acapulco, Mexico

Category: ATP 500

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $2,763,440

Live Telecast: US - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN+


Denis Shapovalov vs Nishesh Basavareddy preview

Denis Shapovalov at the Dallas Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Denis Shapovalov at the Dallas Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Former top 10 players Denis Shapovalov and Cameron Norrie will clash in the first round of the Mexican Open 2025.

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The first month of the new season was rather uneventful for Shapovalov. His best results during this time were second-round appearances at the Australian Open and the Adelaide International. Following his trek Down Under, he arrived in Texas for the Dallas Open.

Shapovalov began his campaign with a tough three-set win over Miomir Kecmanovic. He toppled top seed Taylor Fritz in three sets in the second round and beat sixth seed Tomas Machac and third seed Tommy Paul in straight sets to reach the final. He faced second seed Casper Ruud for the title and secured a 7-6 (5), 6-3 win to clinch the biggest title of his career thus far.

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Basavareddy made his ATP Tour debut in Brisbane this year, and lost in the first round to Gael Monfils. He performed better a few days later in Auckland, where he advanced to his maiden tour-level semifinal, and lost to Monfils yet again.

The young American made his Grand Slam debut at the Australian Open. He took on Novak Djokovic in the first round, and went down to him in four sets. He scored comfortable wins over James Duckworth and Stefan Kozlov to book his place in the main draw of the Mexican Open.

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Denis Shapovalov vs Nishesh Basavareddy head-to-head

This will be the first career meeting between the two, so the head-to-head stands at 0-0 for now.


Denis Shapovalov vs Nishesh Basavareddy odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Denis Shapovalov-165+1.5 (-450)Over 22.5 (-120)
Nishesh Basavareddy+130-1.5 (+270)Under 22.5 (-120)
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(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Denis Shapovalov vs Nishesh Basavareddy prediction

Nishesh Basavareddy at the Australian Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Nishesh Basavareddy at the Australian Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Shapovalov will be feeling quite confident after capturing his first ATP 500 title in Dallas a couple of weeks ago. He hadn't beaten a top 10 player since October 2022 and had lost his last eight matches against them. He then beat three of them in a row to win his most recent title. He has a 7-3 record for the season.

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Shapovalov was initially slated to face Cameron Norrie in his opener here. However, Lorenzo Musetti's withdrawal shook up the draw, and now he will instead face Basavareddy. The American teenager is a rising young star, and will be keen to announce his arrival with a big scalp.

However, Shapovalov has now found his best after a tough couple of seasons. Aside from his recent title in Dallas, he also capped off the 2024 season with a title in Belgrade. With an improved mindset along with some new tactics, he has become a dangerous player once again, and Basavareddy is likely to discover this fact the hard way.

Pick: Denis Shapovalov to win in straight sets.

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Edited by Rohit
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