Adelaide International 2025 Final: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys preview, head-to-head, prediction and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (1) Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys

Date: January 11, 2025

Tournament: Adelaide International 2025

Round: Final

Venue: Memorial Drive Tennis Centre, Adelaide, Australia

Category: WTA 500

Surface: Outdoor Hardcourt

Prize money: $1,064,510

Live telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports

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Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys preview

2023 US Open - Day 8 - Source: Getty

It will be an all-American final in WTA Adelaide with Jessica Pegula and Madison Keys will be contesting for their first title of the season on Saturday, January 11.

Top seed Pegula has had an easier journey to the final, as she got a bye in the first round and then registered a straight sets 6-4, 6-1 win against the former World No. 3 Maria Sakkari in the second round.

In the quarterfinal, Pegula was against another compatriot Ashlyn Krueger, who retired after just 48 minutes when the former was leading 6-4, 2-0. In the semifinal, Pegula won 7-6(4), 6-3 against Yulia Putintseva.

Meanwhile, 29-year-old Keys started her Adelaide campaign with a 6-2, 6-1 first-round win against Beatriz Haddad Maia. She then defeated the eighth seed Jelena Ostapenko 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 with a comeback after being a set down.

In the quarterfinal, Madison Keys knocked out the third seed 6-1, 6-3 in just 58 minutes. The American lost the first set 5-7 against Liudmila Samsonova in the semifinal but made another comeback to win the second set 7-5. She had won six consecutive games and was 3-0 up in the third seed when Samsonova retired.

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Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys head-to-head

Jessica Pegula and Madison Keys are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head meetings. Pegula won their first meeting at the 2022 San Diego. A year later, Keys leveled the head-to-head at the 2023 US Open, outclassing Pegula 6-1, 6-3.

San Diego Open 2022 - Day 5 - Source: Getty

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Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys odds

Player	Moneyline	Handicap bets	Total Games
Jessica Pegula	TBD	TBD	TBD
Madison Keys	TBD	TBD	TBD

(Odds will be added when available)

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Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys prediction

Jessica Pegula would be the favorite to win her first WTA title in Australia, and her first WTA title since winning the Canadian Open in 2024. She lost the Cincinnati Open and US Open finals to World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka and would be itching to snap her losing streak in WTA finals.

Meanwhile, the 2022 Adelaide champion, Madison Keys has won her last three finals in a row and would be looking for a ninth WTA title. However, if the match goes to three sets, fatigue could come into consideration as Madison Keys not only entered the tournament unseeded but also had a relatively difficult run. She had to play four matches whereas Jessica Pegula got a bye in the first round, which might give the latter some more energy to tilt the momentum in her favor.

Pick: Jessica Pegula to win in three sets