Adelaide International 2025: Madison Keys vs Beatriz Haddad Maia preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction, and pick

Madison Keys (L) vs Beatriz Haddad Maia (R) preview (Source: Getty Images)
Madison Keys (L) vs Beatriz Haddad Maia (R) preview (Source: Getty Images)

Match Details

Fixture: Madison Keys vs Beatriz Haddad Maia

Date: January 6, 2025

Tournament: Adelaide International 2025

Round: First Round (Round of 32)

Venue: Memorial Drive Tennis Centre, Adelaide, Australia

Category: WTA 500

Surface: Outdoor Hardcourt

Prize money: $ 1,064,510

Live telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Tennis TV


Madison Keys vs Beatriz Haddad Maia preview

Madison Keys (Getty)
Madison Keys (Getty)

One of the first-round matches at the 2025 Adelaide International will see Madison Keys of the USA square off against Beatriz Haddad Maia of Brazil. Keys had a middling season in 2024. She did not play extensively on the Tour but won the title at the Internationaux de Strasbourg. The American also made a couple of semifinal runs at the Italian Open and Rothesay International.

Keys kickstarted her 2025 season at the ASB Classic. The American was the top seed at the event. She started with a 6-4, 6-4 win over Lucia Bronzetti. In the next round, she registered a dominant 6-1, 6-2 win over Jaqueline Cristian. However, in an upset loss in the semifinal, the top seed lost 4-6, 6-7 (7) to fifth-seeded Clara Tauson.

Beatriz Haddad Maia had a good 2024 season, as the Brazilian reached two finals on the Tour, winning the Korea Open. She also had a semifinal run at the Abu Dhabi Open. The Brazilian also had an inspired run at the US Open, reaching the quarterfinals before crashing out against Karolina Muchova.

However, the start of the 2025 season has not been the best for the left-handed Brazilian. She represented Brazil at the United Cup but lost both her singles matches. She lost 7-5, 4-6, 5-7 to Xinyu Gao of China in the first match and lost 3-6, 6-1, 4-6 to Laura Seigemund of Germany.


Madison Keys vs Beatriz Haddad Maia head-to-head

The head-to-head between the two players is tied at 2-2. The last time they met was at the 2024 Wuhan Open, with Haddad Maia winning 7-6 (7), 6-2.


Madison Keys vs Beatriz Haddad Maia odds

Player NameMoneylineHandicap BetsTota Games
Beatriz Haddad Maia+190+1.5 (-140)Under 21.5 (-125)
Madison Keys-250-1.5 (-105)Over 21.5 (-115)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Madison Keys vs Beatriz Haddad Maia prediction

Madison Keys has a career win ratio of 60 percent on hard courts. The American player has reached six hard-court finals in her career so far, winning three titles. Her most noteworthy performance came on a hard court as she reached the final of the 2017 US Open, falling short against compatriot Sloane Stephens in the summit clash.

On the other hand, Beatriz Haddad Maia has a 56 percent win/loss ratio on hard courts with two titles to her name. The Brazilian has reached five finals on the hard courts so far in her career, the last of which came last year in Seoul.

Even though the head-to-head is tied at 2-2, Haddad Maia has a 2-1 advantage over Keys while playing on hard courts. That will give the Brazilian an added edge in the upcoming contest.

Pick: Haddad Maia to win in three sets.

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Edited by Tushhita Barua
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