Adelaide International 2025: Madison Keys vs Liudmila Samsonova preview, head-to-head, prediction and pick

Match Details

Fixture: Madison Keys vs Liudmila Samsonova

Date: January 10, 2025

Tournament: Adelaide International 2025

Round: Semifinal

Venue: Memorial Drive Tennis Centre, Adelaide, Australia

Category: WTA 500

Surface: Outdoor Hardcourt

Prize money: $1,064,510

Live telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports

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Madison Keys vs Liudmila Samsonova preview

2023 US Open - Day 6 - Source: Getty

Madison Keys and Liudmila Samsanova are unseeded at the tournament but have knocked out many big names on their way to the semifinals.

Liudmila Samsonova got off to a shaky start in the first round when she dropped the first set 1-6 to the qualifier Marie Bouzkova but made a comeback to win the following sets 6-4, 6-1.

In the second round against Belinda Bencic, the Russian was a break down at 4-3 in the deciding set but won the last three games to reach the quarterfinals, where she defeated the second seed Emma Navarro in straight sets.

Meanwhile, Madison Keys has been in supreme form as she brushed aside Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-2, 6-1 in the first round and then came back from one set down to beat the eighth seed Jelena Ostapenko 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 in the second round.

29-year-old Keys, who got married less than two months ago, then stunned the third seed Daria Kasatkina in the quarterfinal with a 6-1, 6-3 win.

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Madison Keys vs Liudmila Samsonova head-to-head

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 4-1, with Samsanova only winning in their first-ever meeting in Berlin in 2021. Since then, the American has dominated their matchup, emerging victorious thrice.

Internationaux de Strasbourg - Day 6 - Source: Getty

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Madison Keys vs Liudmila Samsonova odds

Player	Moneyline	Handicap bets	Total games
Madison Keys	TBD	TBD	TBD
Liudmila Samsonova	TBD	TBD	TBD

(Odds will be added once available)

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Madison Keys vs Liudmila Samsonova prediction

Madison Keys has dominated her opponent in the last four meetings and has beaten better-ranked players in Adelaide this year. She also reached the quarterfinal at Auckland last week before losing to the eventual champion Clara Tauson. The American is thus expected to be the favorite going into the match and further gain momentum ahead of the 2025 Australian Open, where she will face compatriot Ann Li.

Samsonova came to Adelaide with a run that is unlikely to instill confidence in the Russian, as she has gone through a five-match winless streak. While she has had two great comebacks in the first two matches here and won convincingly against Emma Navarro, the 26-year-old will need to play out of her skin and hope the luck is on her side to snap the four-match losing streak against an in-form Madison Keys.

Pick: Madison Keys to win in three sets