Adelaide International 2025: Tommy Paul vs Felix Auger-Aliassime preview, head-to-head, prediction, and pick

Tommy Paul (L) vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (R) preview, (Source: Getty Images)
Tommy Paul (L) vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (R) preview, (Source: Getty Images)

Match Details

Fixture: (1) Tommy Paul vs (5) Felix Auger-Aliassime

Date: January 10, 2025

Tournament: Adelaide International 2025

Round: Semifinal

Venue: Memorial Drive Tennis Centre, Adelaide, Australia

Category: ATP 250

Surface: Outdoor Hardcourt

Prize money: $661,585

Live telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Tennis TV


Tommy Paul vs Felix Auger-Aliassime preview

Tommy Paul (Getty)
Tommy Paul (Getty)

Top seed Tommy Paul will look to clinch his first title of the season when he faces fifth-seeded Felix Auger-Aliassime in the semifinal of the 2025 Adelaide International. Paul has entered the 2025 season on the back of a successful 2024 season, which saw the American player win three titles, and have multiple semifinal runs.

The American started his 2025 season with the ATP 250 event in Adelaide. Being the top seed, he received a bye in the first round. In the first match of the season, the top seed had to battle past the French Lucky Loser Manuel Guinard, winning 6-4, 3-6, 6-3. In the quarterfinal, the World No. 12 faced off against another lucky loser, Rinky Hijikata. This time around, the top seed secured an easy 6-3, 6-4 win.

Felix Auger-Aliassime did not have a good 2024 season by his standards. The Canadian struggled to make it to the latter stages of the important events. In 2025, Auger-Aliassime began with a loss as well, against Borna Coric at the United Cup, losing 6-0, 4-6, 4-6. However, he got an impressive victory over top-ranked Taylor Fritz, winning a three-setter 4-6, 7-5, 6-3.

At the Adelaide International, Auger-Aliassime received an opening-round bye due to his higher seeding. In the second round, he won 1-6, 6-4, 7-5 against Arthur Cazaux. In the quarterfinal clash, the fifth seed defeated Marcos Giron 7-6 (3), 6-3 to advance to his first semifinal of the season.


Tommy Paul vs Felix Auger-Aliassime head-to-head

Auger-Aliassime has a 1-0 lead over Tommy Paul in the head-to-head. The two faced off at the 2023 BNP Paribas Open, where the Canadian won 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 (6).


Tommy Paul vs Felix Auger-Aliassime odds

Player NameMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Tommy PaulTBDTBDTBD
Felix Auger-AliassimeTBDTBDTBD

(Odds will be updated once available)


Tommy Paul vs Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction

In the only match they played against each other, Auger-Aliassime won 67 percent of the service points and 36 percent of the return points. Paul won an almost identical 64 percent of service points and 33 percent of return points. The point of difference was the number of aces, as the Canadian hit 12 of them, while the American could hit none.

As far as a track record on hard courts is concerned, Auger-Aliassime has five titles from ten finals, whereas his opponent too has three titles from five finals. Notably, all those hard court titles for both players have come indoors.

With the Australian Open coming up, both players would like to win a title before Melbourne. However, the current ranking suggests that the slight edge might be with the American.

Pick- Tommy Paul to win in three sets

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Edited by Shirsh
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