Auckland 2025: Madison Keys vs Lucia Bronzetti preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick | ASB Classic

Rohit
Madison Keys vs Lucia Bronzetti is one of the first-round matches at the ASB Classic 2025. (Photos: Getty)
Madison Keys vs Lucia Bronzetti is one of the first-round matches at the ASB Classic 2025. (Photos: Getty)

Match Details

Fixture: (1) Madison Keys vs Lucia Bronzetti

Tournament: ASB Classic 2025

Round: First Round (Round of 32)

Venue: ASB Tennis Centre, Auckland, New Zealand

Category: WTA 250

Surface: Hardcourt (outdoor)

Prize Money: $275,094

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports


Madison Keys vs Lucia Bronzetti preview

Madison Keys at the US Open 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Madison Keys at the US Open 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Top seed Madison Keys will begin her campaign at the ASB Classic 2025 against Lucia Bronzetti.

Keys had a delayed start to her 2024 season as she needed some time to get back in top shape after an injury. She returned to the tour in March and reached the second and fourth round of the Indian Wells Open and the Miami Open, respectively.

Keys had a strong start to her European clay season. She made the semifinals of the Madrid Open and the quarterfinals of the Italian Open, losing to Iga Swiatek on both occasions. She won her first title of the year in Strasbourg but was bundled out of the French Open by Emma Navarro in the third round.

Keys' time at Wimbledon came to an unfortunate end after she was forced to retire due to an injury in the fourth round against Jasmine Paolini. She could notch up only four wins across her next five tournaments after that.

The highlight of Bronzetti's year was winning the Billie Jean King Cup Finals with her compatriots. When it came to her individual performances, semifinal appearances at the Jasmin Open and the Guangzhou Open were her best results.

Bronzetti, meanwhile, made it past the opening hurdle of a Major only once this year. After crashing out in the first round of the first three Majors, she registed a win at the US Open before losing to eventual champion Aryna Sabalenka in the second round.


Madison Keys vs Lucia Bronzetti head-to-head

Keys leads Bronzetti 1-0 in the head-to-head, winning their United Cup 2023 encounter in straight sets.


Madison Keys vs Lucia Bronzetti odds

PlayerMoneyline
Madison Keys
-500
Lucia Bronzetti
+340

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Madison Keys vs Lucia Bronzetti prediction

Lucia Bronzetti at the Billie Jean King Cup Finals 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Lucia Bronzetti at the Billie Jean King Cup Finals 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Keys has enjoyed a pretty good level of success Down Under. She's a two-time Australian Open semifinalist, losing to eventual champions Serena Williams and Ashleigh Barty in 2015 and 2022, respectively. She won the title in Adelaide in 2022 and reached the final in Brisbane in 2020.

Meanwhile, Bronzetti's most memorable outing in Australia was a runner-up finish with her fellow Italians at the United Cup 2023. She also lost her singles tie against Keys back then. She went 1-3 in Australia in 2024, with her only win coming against Ashlyn Krueger.

Bronzetti went 1-7 against top 30 players in 2024 and has a 2-17 career record against them. She has also struggled against big-hitters in the past and was on the receiving end of beatdowns from the likes of Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina in 2024. Keys, who plays as aggressively as them, is likely to send the Italian packing as well.

Pick: Madison Keys to win in straight sets

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Edited by Rohit
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