Australian Open 2025: Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction and pick

Aryna Sabalenka (L) and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (R) (Source: Getty)
Aryna Sabalenka (L) and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (R) (Source: Getty)

Match Details

Fixture: (1) Aryna Sabalenka vs (27) Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

Date: January 21, 2025

Tournament: Australian Open 2025

Round: Quarterfinals

Venue: Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Outdoor Hardcourt

Prize Money: A$96,500,000

Live Telecast: USA - ESPN and Tennis Channel | UK - Eurosport | Canada - TSN and RDS | Australia - 9Now and Stan Sport | India - Sony Network


Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova preview

Sabalenka in action at the 2025 Australian Open (Source: Getty)
Sabalenka in action at the 2025 Australian Open (Source: Getty)

Top seed Aryna Sabalenka will face 27th seed Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open on Tuesday, January 21.

Sabalenka continued her unbeaten run in 2025 with a 6-1, 6-2 win over Mirra Andreeva in the fourth round of the Melbourne Major. She has lost just a single set across the nine matches she played this season. The recent result also marked the Belarusian's 18th straight win in Melbourne.

Sabalenka was dominant throughout her match against Andreeva. She hit 15 winners, served three aces and broke her opponent's serve four times. She defeated Sloane Stephens, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro, and Clara Tauson, all in straight sets, before getting the better of Andreeva.

Meanwhile, Pavlyuchenkova commenced her 2025 season at the Adelaide International, where she suffered a first round defeat against Marketa Vondrousova. It marked her first competitive appearance on the tour since the 2024 US Open.

Pavlyuchenkova has had a change of fortune in Melbourne, as she made a scintillating run to the quarterfinals. She defeated Yue Yuan, Anastasia Potapova, Laura Siegemund and World No. 19 Donna Vekic to reach the last-eight.


Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova head-to-head

This will be their fourth meeting on the tour. Pavlyuchenkova leads the head-to-head 2-1. She defeated the Belarusian 6-4, 2-6, 6-0 in their last meeting at the 2021 French Open.


Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Aryna Sabalenka-590TBDTBD
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova+430TBDTBD

Odds sourced from Oddschecker.


Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova prediction

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova at the 2025 Australian Open (Source: Getty)
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova at the 2025 Australian Open (Source: Getty)

Sabalenka has barely been tested this season and in her previous 18 appearances in Melbourne. She will be keen to ride on this confidence as she continues her Australian Open title defense. The Belarusian, who prefers hardcourts, has been using the quick conditions in Melbourne Park well to her advantage.

Pavlyuchenkova has equalled her best run at the Australian Open by reaching the quarterfinals this year. She has been decent with her serves so far. The Russian served 10 aces against Vekic in the fourth round. She also has the advantage over Sabalenka on hardcourts, having won their only meeting on the surface in 2019.

Although Pavlyuchenkova has a better head-to-head record, Sabalenka's current form and dominance on the Melbourne hardcourts makes her the favorite to go through. Her powerful serve, forehand and aggressive play will be difficult to overpower.

Pick: Sabalenka to win in three sets.

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Edited by Neelabhra Roy
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