Australian Open 2025: Paula Badosa vs Marta Kostyuk preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Paula Badosa (L) vs Marta Kostyuk (R) preview, (Source: Getty Images)
Paula Badosa (L) vs Marta Kostyuk (R) preview, (Source: Getty Images)

Match Details

Fixture: (11) Paula Badosa vs (17) Marta Kostyuk

Date: January 17, 2025

Tournament: Australian Open 2025

Round: Third Round (Round of 32)

Venue: Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Hard (Outdoor)

Prize Money: A$ 96,500,000

Live Telecast: USA - ESPN & Tennis Channel | UK - Eurosport | India - Sony Sports & Sony LIV


Paula Badosa vs Marta Kostyuk preview

In Picture: Paula Badosa (Getty)
In Picture: Paula Badosa (Getty)

11th-seeded Paula Badosa will look to keep her Australian Open campaign alive as she takes on 17th-seeded Marta Kostyuk in the third round. Badosa did not have the best of starts to the 2025 season. The Spaniard lost to Elina Avanesyan in the second round of the Brisbane International, 3-6, 6-1, 2-6. She had a similar second-round exit at the Adelaide International, losing 6-7 (4), 7-6 (4), 2-6 to Ashlyn Krueger.

At the Australian Open, the eleventh seed began her campaign with a 6-3, 7-6 (5) win over Xinyu Wang of China in the first round. She faced local favorite Talia Gibson in the next round. Being an Australian, Gibson had the support of the crowd, but Badosa blew her opponent away, winning 6-1, 6-0.

Before the 2025 Australian Open, Kostyuk lost both her matches of the season so far. She lost 4-6, 3-6 to Yue Yuan at the Brisbane International, and then lost 6-4, 2-6, 2-6 to Ashlyn Krueger at the Adelaide International.

In Melbourne, the 17th seed found her form and won her first-round match 3-6, 6-3, 6-1 against Japan's Nao Hibino. She then took on Julie Niemeier of Germany in the second round, winning 6-3, 6-0.


Paula Badosa vs Marta Kostyuk head-to-head

Badosa has a 3-1 lead over Kostyuk in their head-to-head. The last completed match between the pair was at the 2023 Italian Open, which Badosa won 6-4, 6-2.


Paula Badosa vs Marta Kostyuk odds

Player NameMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Paula Badosa-225-1.5 (+105)Over 21.5 (-120)
Marta Kostyuk+175+1.5 (-150)Under 21.5 (-120)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Paula Badosa vs Marta Kostyuk prediction

Before 2025, Badosa had a modest 6-5 record in Melbourne, with a fourth-round run in 2022 being the best result. Overall, the Spaniard has won three hard-court titles in her career, the last of which was at the 2024 Citi Open, where she defeated Marie Bouzkova 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 in the final.

Marta Kostyuk has a 10-5 record at the Australian Open, coming into the 2025 edition. The Ukrainian had her best Grand Slam result in Melbourne when she reached the quarterfinal last year. However, the Ukrainian's only career title came on the hard court when she won the 2023 ATX Open with a 6-3, 7-5 win over Varvara Gracheva.

The only win for Kostyuk against Badosa came at the 2023 Wimbledon Championships, where the Spaniard had to retire mid-match. Also, Badosa being the higher seed, the advantage will be firmly with her.

Pick- Badosa to win in straight sets.

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Edited by Hitesh Nigam
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