Barcelona Open 2025 Final: Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Rohit
Carlos Alcaraz will face Holger Rune in the final of the Barcelona Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)
Carlos Alcaraz will face Holger Rune in the final of the Barcelona Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)

Match Details

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Fixture: (1) Carlos Alcaraz vs (6) Holger Rune

Date: April 20, 2025

Tournament: Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell

Round: Final

Venue: Real Club de Tenis Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain

Category: ATP 500

Surface: Clay

Prize Money: €2,889,200

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune preview

Carlos Alcaraz at the Barcelona Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Carlos Alcaraz at the Barcelona Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Top seed Carlos Alcaraz will lock horns with Holger Rune in the final of the Barcelona Open 2025.

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Alcaraz captured his first title on clay this year at the Monte-Carlo Masters in the lead-up to the Barcelona Open. He scored straight-sets wins over Ethan Quinn and Laslo Djere in the first two rounds of his home tournament, and beat Alex de Minaur 7-5, 6-3 in the quarterfinals to set up a semifinal against Arthur Fils.

Fils had Alcaraz on the ropes in the first set of their quarterfinal at the Monte-Carlo Masters, but the Spaniard rallied back and came from 3-1 down in the third set to emerge victorious. The Spaniard was better prepared this time. A five-game run laid the foundation for him to claim the opening set in Barcelona.

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Alcaraz snagged an early break in the second set to put himself in the driver's seat. He served for the match at 5-4 and while Fils fended off a couple of break points, the crowd favorite wasn't to be denied. He wrapped up the match on his third match point for a 6-2, 6-4 win.

Meanwhile, Rune commenced his campaign here with a routine win over Albert Ramos-Vinolas. He overcame a one-set deficit to beat Sebastian Baez in the second round and knocked out defending champion Casper Ruud in the quarterfinals with a 6-4, 6-2 win.

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The young Dane was up against Karen Khachanov for a spot in the summit clash. He was dialed in right from the start, breaking his opponent's serve twice in each set to register a 6-3, 6-2 win.


Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune head-to-head

Alcaraz leads Rune 2-1 in the head-to-head. The Spaniard won their previous encounter at Wimbledon 2023 in straight sets.


Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Carlos Alcaraz-500+1.5 (-1600)Over 21.5 (-115)
Holger Rune+360-1.5 (+600)Under 21.5 (-125)
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(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune prediction

Holger Rune at the Barcelona Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Holger Rune at the Barcelona Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Both players have reached the final in impressive form. Neither lost serve in the semifinals, and scored comfortable wins. Alcaraz extended his winning streak to nine matches, starting with his triumph in Monte Carlo.

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Alcaraz also extended his unbeaten run in Barcelona to 14 matches. He won back-to-back titles in 2022 and 2023 but couldn't defend his title last year due to an injury. He has won 22 consecutive sets here as well, a streak which began during his semifinal win against de Minaur in 2022.

While Rune is a strong player on clay, Alcaraz is slowly proving himself to be capable of taking over the mantle of the "King of Clay" vacated by Rafael Nadal. The 21-year-old has a 27-1 record in Spain since the start of 2022. Given his impressive record in his country and on the surface, along with his current form, he will be the overwhelming favorite to claim his third title in Barcelona.

Pick: Carlos Alcaraz to win in straight sets.

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Edited by Rohit
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