Brisbane International 2025: Reilly Opelka vs Matteo Arnaldi preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Rohit
Reilly Opelka vs Matteo Arnaldi is one of the second-round matches at the Brisbane International 2025. (Photos: Getty)
Reilly Opelka vs Matteo Arnaldi is one of the second-round matches at the Brisbane International 2025. (Photos: Getty)

Match Details

Fixture: (PR) Reilly Opelka vs Matteo Arnaldi

Date: January 2, 2025

Tournament: Brisbane International 2025

Round: Second Round (Round of 16)

Venue: Queensland Tennis Centre, Brisbane, Australia

Category: ATP 250

Surface: Outdoor hardcourt

Prize Money: $766,290

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN+


Reilly Opelka vs Matteo Arnaldi preview

Reilly Opelka at the Davis Cup 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Reilly Opelka at the Davis Cup 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Reilly Opelka and Matteo Arnaldi will lock horns in the second round of the Brisbane International 2025.

Following a lengthy injury hiatus, Opelka embarked on his comeback last year. He had a 7-8 record in 2024, with a semifinal showing in Newport being his best result. He was drawn against Federico Agustin Gomez in his Brisbane opener. The American put his best foot forward, and a lone break of serve in each set helped him register a 7-5, 6-4 win.

Arnaldi had some solid results in 2024. He advanced to his maiden Masters 1000 semifinal at the Canadian Open and reached the fourth round of the French Open and the Miami Open. He also cracked the top 30 and peaked at No. 29 in the rankings.

Arnaldi was up against seventh seed and home favorite Alexei Popyrin in the first round of the Brisbane International. He proved too good for the Australian and secured a routine 6-3, 6-2 win over him.


Reilly Opelka vs Matteo Arnaldi head-to-head

This will be the first career meeting between them, so the head-to-head stands at 0-0 for now.


Reilly Opelka vs Matteo Arnaldi odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Matteo Arnaldi
-175
+1.5 (-450)
Over 24.5 (-125)
Reilly Opelka
+135
-1.5 (+275)
Under 24.5 (-115)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Reilly Opelka vs Matteo Arnaldi prediction

Matteo Arnaldi at the Davis Cup 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Matteo Arnaldi at the Davis Cup 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Opelka is a former top-20 player but is still finding his bearings after an injury sidelined him for close to two years. He showed glimpses of his old form during his win over Agustin Gomez. He didn't face a single break point and won 93 percent of points on the back of his first serve.

Arnaldi came out firing on all cylinders against Popyrin in his opening-round duel. He went 3/3 on break points and saved the two break points that he faced with ease.

Opelka, currently ranked outside the top 200, has a 1-5 record against top 50 players since the start of his comeback last year. His only win came against an out-of-form Adrian Mannarino. Arnaldi, meanwhile, has a 14-1 record against players ranked outside the top 100 since the start of 2023.

Many new players have established themselves on the scene during Opelka's prolonged absence from the tour, and Arnaldi is one of them. The Italian will be ready to counter the American's big serve, and if his first-round performance is any indication, then he'll be poised to score another comfortable win.

Pick: Matteo Arnaldi to win in straight sets.

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Edited by Rohit
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