Cincinnati Open 2024 SF: Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka
Iga Swiatek (L) and Aryna Sabalenka (Source: Getty Images)

Match Details

Fixture: (1) Iga Swiatek vs (3) Aryna Sabalenka

Date: August 18, 2024

Tournament: Cincinnati Open 2024

Round: Semifinal

Venue: Lindner Family Tennis Center, Mason, Ohio, US

Category: WTA 1000

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $3,211,715

Live Telecast: US - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN+


Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka preview

Iga Swiatek (Source: Imagn)
Iga Swiatek (Source: Imagn)

Top seed Iga Swiatek will face off against third seed Aryna Sabalenka in the semifinal of the 2024 Cincinnati Open on Sunday, August 18.

Swiatek entered Cincinnati on a high after winning a singles bronze medal at the Paris Olympics. She defeated Irina-Camelia Begu, Diane Parry, Wang Xinyu, Danielle Collins, and Anna Karolina Schmiedlova on her way.

In Cincinnati, Swiatek kicked off her campaign in the second round with a 6-0, 6-7(8), 6-2 win over Varvara Gracheva. She followed it up with a dominant 6-2, 6-2 victory over 15th seed Marta Kostyuk and a 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 win against teenager Mirra Andreeva to reach the semifinals.

Aryna Sabalenka (Source: Imagn)
Aryna Sabalenka (Source: Imagn)

Meanwhile, Sabalenka made a comeback from a shoulder injury — which had forced her to withdraw from Wimbledon — at the Citi Open. She reached the semifinals but lost to Marie Bouzkova. The Belarusian also reached the quarterfinals of the Canadian Open, where eventual runner-up Amanda Anisimova cut her run short.

Sabalenka began her Cincinnati Open campaign with a commanding 6-3, 6-4 win over Elisabetta Cocciaretto in the second round. She then defeated Elina Svitolina 7-5, 6-2 and 10th seed Liudmila Samsonova 6-3, 6-2 to set up a clash with her arch-rival Swiatek in the last four.


Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka head-to-head

Swiatek and Sabalenka have faced each other 11 times on the WTA Tour, with the former holding an 8-3 head-to-head advantage. Their most recent meeting was at the Italian Open this year, where the Pole defeated the Belarusian 6-2, 6-3 in the final.


Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Iga Swiatek-185-2.5 (-140)Over 21.5 (-125)
Aryna Sabalenka+145+2.5 (-105)Under 21.5 (-115)

(Odds sourced from BetMGM)


Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka prediction

Iga Swiatek (Source: Imagn) \ATP 250 Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championships 2024 - Day 9 - Source: Getty
Iga Swiatek (Source: Imagn) \ATP 250 Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championships 2024 - Day 9 - Source: Getty

The semifinal clash between Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka at the 2024 Cincinnati Open on Sunday (August 18) promises to be thrilling.

Swiatek will enter the match as the favorite, thanks to her impressive performances this year, which include title-winning runs at the Qatar Open, Indian Wells, Madrid, Rome, and the French Open. She is in spectacular form and has a strong chance of leaving Cincinnati with her sixth title of the season.

Sabalenka has also had a good season, though not as strong as her opponent's. Her sole title came at the Australian Open, but she reached the finals and semifinals in several other significant tournaments.

Swiatek's dominant head-to-head record against Sabalenka and the latter's recent injury issues could give the Pole the edge to secure victory and set up a clash with either Paula Badosa or Jessica Pegula in the final of the 2024 Cincinnati Open.

Pick: Iga Swiatek to win in straight sets.

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Edited by Pritha Ghosh
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