Danielle Collins vs Madison Keys preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick | Australian Open 2025

Danielle Collins vs Madison Keys is one of the third-round matches at the Australian Open (Image Source: Getty)
Danielle Collins vs Madison Keys is one of the third-round matches at the Australian Open (Image Source: Getty)

Match Details

Fixture: (10) Danielle Collins vs (19) Madison Keys

Date: January 17, 2025

Tournament: Australian Open 2025

Round: Third Round (Round of 32)

Venue: Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Hard (Outdoor)

Prize Money: A$ 96,500,000

Live Telecast: USA - ESPN & Tennis Channel | UK - Eurosport | India - Sony Sports & Sony Liv


Danielle Collins vs Madison Keys preview

Danielle Collins in action at the Australian Open (Image Source: Getty)
Danielle Collins in action at the Australian Open (Image Source: Getty)

Tenth seed Danielle Collins will face 19th seed Madison Keys in the third round of the Australian Open. The winner of the match will face either sixth seed Elena Rybakina or 32nd seed Dayana Yastremska in the fourth round of the Melbourne Major.

Collins started her run at the tournament with a 7-6(4), 6-3 win over Daria Snigur to set up a second-round clash against Australian qualifier Destanee Aiava. The 31-year-old won a tight opening set via a tiebreak but the 24-year-old bounced back to take the second and force the match into a qualifier.

Collins fought off Aiava and a hostile crowd to eventually take the match 7-6(4), 4-6, 6-2 and reach the third round of the Australian Open.

Madison Keys entered the Melbourne Major following an impressive title run at the Adelaide International. The American faced compatriot Ann Li in the first round and triumphed 6-4, 7-5.

She then faced Romanian qualifier Elena-Gabriela Ruse in the second round and edged out the first set via a tiebreak. The latter, however, dominated the second set and took it 6-2 to force the match into a third. The final set was tightly contested, but Keys managed to win it to register a narrow 7-6(1), 2-6, 7-5 win, and a place in the third round of the Melbourne Major.


Danielle Collins vs Madison Keys head-to-head

Keys currently holds a 2-1 lead in the head-to-head. Their last meeting came in the final of the Internationeaux de Strasbourg, with the 29-year-old winning 6-1, 6-2.


Danielle Collins vs Madison Keys odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Danielle Collins+210+4.5 (-165)Under 21.5 (-120)
Madison Keys-275-4.5 (+115)Over 21.5 (-120)

All odds are sourced from BETMGM.


Danielle Collins vs Madison Keys prediction

While Collins is the higher-ranked player, Keys has looked in terrific form at the start of the 2025 season, and may have an edge entering the match.

Danielle Collins has an effective serve and has served 13 aces so far at the Australian Open. However, she has also served 15 double-faults and will have to be careful not to have too many of those.

Keys' ace count so far at the Melbourne Major is less compared to that of her compatriot, but she did fetch six of those in her first-round match, so she is capable of producing a high number of them.

Both players are among the hardest hitters on the WTA Tour and they will look to be on the front foot from the start of the match. That said, Collins will be targeted by the crowd after all the drama following her win over Aiava. Keys is a highly toughter opponent than Aiava, and there is a good chance of her triumphing.

Pick: Keys to win in three sets.

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Edited by Neelabhra Roy
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