Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick | Australian Open 2025

Match Details

Fixture: (5) Daniil Medvedev vs (Q) Learner Tien

Tournament: Australian Open 2025

Round: Second Round (Round of 64)

Venue: Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Hard (Outdoor)

Prize Money: A$ 96,500,000

Live Telecast: USA - ESPN & Tennis Channel | UK - Eurosport | India - Sony Sports & Sony Liv

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Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien preview

Daniil Medvedev in action at the Australian Open (Image Source: Getty)

Fifth seed Daniil Medvedev will take on American qualifier Learner Tien in the second round of the Australian Open on January 16. The winner of the match will face either Corentin Moutet or Mitchell Krueger in the third round of the Melbourne Major.

Medvedev ended his 2024 season with 46 wins out of 67 matches, reaching the finals of the Australian Open and the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells. He also made it to the semifinals of Wimbledon and the Miami Open.

Medvedev started his 2025 season at the Australian Open and faced Thailand's Kasidit Samrej in the first round. The Russian was given a run for his money and he eventually eked out a 6-2, 4-6, 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 to book his place in the second round of the Melbourne Major.

Learner Tien started his 2025 season at the Hong Kong Open, and suffered a 3-6, 5-7 defeat to Cameron Norrie in the first round. The American then entered the qualifying rounds of the Australian Open as the 16th seed.

Tien started with a 4-6, 7-6(4), 6-1 win over Gregoire Barrere before beating Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-4, 6-2 to set up a clash with Jozef Kovalik in the final qualifier. The teenager triumphed 6-3, 6-4 over the Slovak to book his place in the main draw of the Australian Open for the first time in his career.

Learner Tien faced Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the first round and edged him 4-6, 7-6(3), 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 to register his first victory in the main draw of a Grand Slam.

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Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien head-to-head

The head-to-head between the two currently stands at 0-0 as they have not locked horns before on the ATP Tour.

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Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien odds

Player	Moneyline	Handicap Bets	Total Games
Daniil Medvedev	-650	-7.5 (+120)	Over 33.5 (-120)
Learner Tien	+400	+7.5 (-175)	Under 33.5 (-110)

All odds are sourced from Oddschecker.

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Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien prediction

Medvedev will enter the match as the heavy favorite to win given his hard-court quality. However, the Russian may be an outburst or two away from being in huge trouble from a temperament viewpoint.

Medvedev may have had a tough time in his first match at Melbourne Park but he was still mighty impressive on his first serve, winning 53 out of 58 serves, with 24 aces to his name. He also hit 48 winners, which was less than his unforced error count of 34.

The Russian may not be the most elegant player but his game is built around being effective. His serve, counterpunching, stamina and swift transitions from defense to attack make life difficult for even the best of players.

Tien, on the other hand, won just 74 out of 102 points (72.6%) on his first serve, serving seven aces. However, he also served 16 double faults and cannot afford too many of those. Another thing that the American cannot do too much is hit unforced errors, having accumulated 69 of those in his last match compared to 44 winners.

Tien will have to be aggressive and not shy away from his shots against Medvedev. The American is a quick mover and will heavily rely on his versatile shots. Tien will no doubt have to produce something close to the performance of his life if he is to stand a chance against Medvedev.

While Tien is a promising talent, the Russian's experience and superior quality should see him come out on top without much trouble and reach the third round of the Australian Open.

Pick: Medvedev to win in straight sets.