Guadalajara Open Akron 2024: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs Olivia Gadecki preview, head-to-head, prediction, and pick

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs Olivia Gadecki at the Guadalajara Open
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs Olivia Gadecki at the Guadalajara Open (Images via Getty)

Match Details

Fixture: (80) Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs (152) Olivia Gadecki

Date: 15 September 2024

Tournament: Guadalajara Open 2024

Round: Semifinals

Venue: Panamerican Tennis Center, Zapopan, Guadalajara, Mexico

Category: WTA 500

Surface: Hardcourt

Prize Money: $922,573

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK—Amazon Prime Video


Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs Olivia Gadecki preview

Maria Camila Osorio at the WTA 500 Guadalajara Open Akron - Day 6 - Source: Getty
Maria Camila Osorio at the WTA 500 Guadalajara Open Akron - Day 6 - Source: Getty

Maria Camila Osorio will take on Olivia Gadecki in the semifinals of the Guadalajara Open Akron on 15 September.

Osorio enters this fixture at the back of a straight-set win against the Abierto Zapopan champion, Kamilla Rakhimova. On the other hand, the Australian qualifier has already caused some major upsets at the tournament, defeating former U.S. Open champion Sloane Stephens, second seed Danielle Collins, and most recently, Martina Trevisan in a closely contested three-set encounter.

The two players have contrasting playstyles, which would make their match-up more interesting. Whereas Osorio is known for her fantastic court coverage, footwork, and defensive acumen, Gadecki has displayed strong baseline play and used her big serve to her advantage.


Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs Olivia Gadecki head-to-head

Osorio and Gadecki are yet to meet each other professionally before this fixture, hence, their head-to-head stands at 0-0.


Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs Olivia Gadecki odds

PlayersMoneylineHandicapTotal Games
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano-145-1.5 (-130)-120 (Over 21.5)
Olivia Gadecki+110+1.5 (-110)-120 (Under 21.5)

Odds sourced from BetMGM.


Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs Olivia Gadecki prediction

Osorio and Gadecki have won 61% of their matches in the past year. However, the two players have competed on different levels, with Osorio mainly playing on the Main Tour and winning 68% of her matches there. Gadecki, on the other hand, has played chiefly Challengers and ITF-level tournaments and possesses a 63% win rate.

A notable statistic that could be the difference maker stepping into this fixture is the average ranking of the players they have faced in the past year, with the Columbian playing against better-ranked opposition of around 120 compared to Gadecki playing against 244 on her campaign.

With the two players vying for a place in the final, this fixture could be determined by their deciding set performances. Osorio has won 50% of her deciding sets in the last year, compared to Gadecki's success rate of 58%.

Under pressure, Osorio saved 53% of her breakpoints, while Gadecki fared better, saving 58% of hers. However, Osorio is more clinical while converting her breakpoints, winning 51% of her points, while Gadecki has only managed to win 43%.

Pick: Osorio to win in three sets.

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Edited by Shirsh
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