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Match Details
Fixture: (6) Elena Rybakina vs (19) Madison Keys
Date: January 19, 2025
Tournament: Australian Open 2025
Round: Fourth Round (Round of 16)
Venue: Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia
Category: Grand Slam
Surface: Outdoor Hardcourt
Prize Money: A$ 96,500,000
Live Telecast: USA - ESPN and Tennis Channel | UK - Eurosport | Canada - TSN and RDS | Australia - 9Now and Stan Sport | India - Sony Network
Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys preview
2023 finalist Elena Rybakina will take on 19th-seeded Madison Keys for a place in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open on Monday (January 20).
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Rybakina struggled with her results and physical conditioning last year, failing to complete her campaign at many big tournaments and ending the season ranked No. 6 in the world. However, things have started well for the Kazakh so far in 2025.
Rybakina started the year by helping her nation to the semifinals of the United Cup. At the Australian Open, theKazakh has been in red-hot form so far, having dismissed her first three opponents without the loss of more than four games in a single set against them.
The 25-year-old, who won her lone Major title at Wimbledon in 2022, will be eager next week to improve her career-best result of finishing as the runner-up in Melbourne (2023, lost to Aryna Sabalenka in three sets).
Keys, meanwhile, ended her 2024 season with a 24-12 win/loss record and mediocre results at the Major tournaments. The former World No. 6 has made plenty of amends for her middling form this year, though; she won the tune-up event in Adelaide in early January before reaching the fourth round at the 2025 Australian Open in comprehensive fashion.
The American's third-round win against the dangerous Danielle Collins was her best performance, as she dismissed the latter by a straightforward scoreline of 6-4, 6-4. The 29-year-old has reached the semifinals in Melbourne twice during her career (2015, 2022), meaning Rybakina will have to be on top of her game to come through this match.
Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys head-to-head
Rybakina and Keys are tied 2-2 in their head-to-head meetings on the WTA Tour. The American had previously led the rivalry by a margin of 2-1 until 2022. The Kazakh beat her older rival in their most recent encounter in the fourth round of the 2024 Miami Open.
Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys odds
All odds sourced from Oddschecker.
Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys prediction
Rybakina has one of the most power-packed playing styles on the women's tour, thanks to her big serve and smooth groundstrokes from both wings. The Kazakh is also a formidable mover on-court despite towering at 6'0", thereby making her a defensive force. Keys, meanwhile, has the ability to hit swashbuckling shots from both wings as well, with her down-the-line forehand being her USP.
However, the American suffers from low margin on her groundstrokes, which will put more pressure when it comes to percentage play. If the sixth seed can take advantage of this and maintain consistency from the baseline, then she will likely navigate past this challenge.
Pick: Rybakina in three sets.
