Madrid Open 2025: Ashlyn Krueger vs Anastasia Potapova preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Match Details

Fixture: Ashlyn Krueger vs Anastasia Potapova

Date: April 23, 2025

Tournament: Mutua Madrid Open 2025

Round: First Round (Round of 128)

Venue: Caja Magica, Madrid, Spain

Surface: Clay

Category: WTA 1000

Prize Money: $8,403,780

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN

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Ashlyn Krueger vs Anastasia Potapova preview

World No. 35 Krueger hits a backhand at the Miami Open 2025 | Image Source: Getty

USA's Ashlyn Krueger will face Russia's Anastasia Potapova in the first round of the 2025 Madrid Open on Tuesday (April 22).

Krueger has enjoyed a good season on the WTA Tour thus far. The American reached the final of the Abu Dhabi Open against all odds in February, where she lost to a resurgent Belinda Bencic in three sets. Although the 20-year-old slowed down in the following weeks on hardcourts, she hit form again on the green clay of Charleston with a Round-of-16 run.

Potapova, meanwhile, has dropped three of her last six matches since securing her third career title at the Transylvania Open in February. The 24-year-old withdrew ahead of her second-round match in Stuttgart last week due to a wrist injury. It remains to be seen whether the World No. 39 is fit for the Madrid Open, where she reached the third round two years ago.

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Ashlyn Krueger vs Anastasia Potapova head-to-head

Krueger and Potapova have never met on the WTA Tour, so their head-to-head record stands at 0-0.

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Ashlyn Krueger vs Anastasia Potapova odds

Player	Moneyline	Handicap Bets	Total Games (Over/Under)
Ashlyn Krueger	-102	-1.5 (+200)	Over 21.5 (-120)
Anastasia Potapova	-125	+1.5 (-300)	Under 21.5 (-118)

All bets sourced from BetMGM.

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Ashlyn Krueger vs Anastasia Potapova prediction

Anastasia Potapova hits a backhand in Stuttgart | Image Source: Getty

Krueger has an aggressive style of play that has helped her achieve good results on hardcourt - her favorite surface. Although World No. 35 is relatively inexperienced on clay, the high-altitude claycourts at Caja Magica will suit her flat groundstrokes well. That said, she will have to up her rally tolerance to stay in baseline exchanges with a player of her opponent's pedigree.

Potapova also possesses an attacking game, which relies on her fast racket-head speed and timing. The three-time WTA singles titlist's backhand is her strongest weapon, as it allows her to switch shot direction at a whim. The first-round match between the two players might turn out to be a cracker, provided the Russian's wrist has healed.

The keys for both players in this encounter will be to hit consistent, high-margin groundstrokes and construct points tactically. While Potapova is much more adept at the above strategy, she might not be in a good enough rhythm ahead of her Madrid campaign.

Pick: Krueger to win in three sets.