Madrid Open 2025 qualifying: Thiago Monteiro vs Mitchell Krueger preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Rohit
Thiago Monteiro vs Mitchell Krueger is one of the first-round qualifying matches at the Madrid Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)
Thiago Monteiro vs Mitchell Krueger is one of the first-round qualifying matches at the Madrid Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)

Match Details

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Fixture: (9) Thiago Monteiro vs Mitchell Krueger

Date: April 21, 2025

Tournament: Mutua Madrid Open

Round: First Round (Qualifying)

Venue: Park Manzanares, Madrid, Spain

Category: Masters 1000

Surface: Clay

Prize Money: €8,055,385

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Thiago Monteiro vs Mitchell Krueger preview

Thiago Monteiro at the Australian Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Thiago Monteiro at the Australian Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Ninth seed Thiago Monteiro will take on Mitchell Krueger in the first round of the Madrid Open 2025 qualifiers.

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Monteiro has a 2-5 record at the ATP level this year, with second-round appearances at the Rio Open and the Chile Open being his best results. He has performed a lot better at the Challenger level and reached a couple of finals last month. He lost to Daniel Elahi Galan in the final of the Santiago Challenger, while Emilio Nava beat him in the final of the Asuncion Challenger.

Monteiro's good run of form came to an end at last week's Oeiras Challenger, losing to Elmer Moller in the first round. He made the third round of the Madrid Open last year and bowed out in the second round in 2023.

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Mitchell has a 1-2 record on the main tour this year and his only win came at the Australian Open. He beat Rinky Hijikata in his opener before losing to Corentin Moutet in the next round. He posted his best result at the Challenger level at last week's Tallahassee Challenger, where he made the last eight. He has tallied a 4-4 record at this level so far.


Thiago Monteiro vs Mitchell Krueger head-to-head

This will be their first meeting at the ATP level, even in qualifying, so the head-to-head stands at 0-0. However, they did cross paths at an ITF event back in 2013. Monteiro staged a comeback to win that match in three sets.

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Thiago Monteiro vs Mitchell Krueger odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Thiago Monteiro-500+1.5 (-1600)Over 21.5 (-130)
Mitchell Krueger+325-1.5 (+575)Under 21.5 (-110)
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(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Thiago Monteiro vs Mitchell Krueger prediction

Mitchell Krueger at the U.S. Men's Clay Court Championships 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Mitchell Krueger at the U.S. Men's Clay Court Championships 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Monteiro has fond memories of competing in Madrid over the past two years. He reached the second round here for the first time in 2023. He came through the qualifying rounds here last year and even ousted sixth seed Stefanos Tsitsipas en route to the third round.

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This will be a new experience for Krueger, who will compete in the qualifying rounds of a Masters 1000 tournament on clay for the first time. He's a decent player on clay, with a 96-85 career record on the surface across all levels. His best result on clay has been a runner-up finish at the Tallahassee Challenger 2024.

Monteiro, meanwhile, has tallied all of his career best results on the red dirt. He has won nine titles on clay at the Challenger level. Even at the ATP level, clay has always been his preferred surface. As such, he will be expected to come out on top against Krueger.

Pick: Thiago Monteiro to win in straight sets.

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Edited by Rohit
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