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Match Details
Fixture: Emma Navarro vs Emiliana Arango
Date: March 3, 2025
Tournament: Merida Open 2025
Round: Final
Venue: Yucatan Country Club, Merida, Mexico
Category: WTA 500
Surface: Hardcourt (outdoor)
Prize Money: $1,064,510
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - DAZN
Emma Navarro vs Emiliana Arango preview
The summit clash of Merida Open 2025 will see top seed Emma Navarro take on Emiliana Arango on Sunday, March 3. While Navarro was a title favourite, Arango surprised everyone with her resilience and impressive performances throughout the tournament.
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Navarro, the only top 10 player in the tournament, has decimated every opponent en route to the finals without dropping a set, including Elina Avanesyan in the semifinals. After receiving a first-round bye, Navarro cruised past Petra Martic with a 6-1, 6-2 win, followed by another thumping win over Zeynep Sonmez, 6-4, 6-2.
Meanwhile, Arango has been the surprise package of the tournament. The Colombian, currently World No. 133, enters the final after a topsy-turvy semifinal against Daria Saville. After winning the first set 6-3, Arango stumbled in the second, losing 4-6 before closing out a 6-2 third set.
Before this, the Colombian lost the first set 5-7 against Rebecca Sramkova before winning the next two sets in convincing fashion. Her only straight set victory this tournament came in the first round, where she defeated Maria Lourdes Carle 6-2, 6-3.
Emma Navarro vs Emiliana Arango head-to-head
Emma Navarro and Emiliana Arango have met once before on the WTA tour, with the American holding a 1-0 lead after she defeated Arango in Naples two years ago.
Emma Navarro vs Emiliana Arango odds
Odds via BetMGM
Emma Navarro vs Emiliana Arango prediction
Navarro comes into this match as the clear favorite and will look to win her first WTA 500 title in Mexico, second in total. With her heavy groundstrokes and consistent serves, the 23-year-old can command the baseline to gain advantage over Arango. The American's composure and experience can also play a key role.
On the other hand, Arango has shown incredible fortitude in this tournament. If she can extend rallies and work Navarro into physical exchanges, she can make this final quite competitive for the top seed. The Colombian has the power to challenge the American's serve, but will need to figure out how to disrupt most of Emma’s shots, using well-placed drop shots and well-timed counterattacks.
As impressive as Arango’s run to the final has been, Navarro has the edge based on her overall firepower and superior skillset.
Pick: Emma Navarro to win in straight sets.
